Stockton
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#321) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 967 (#282) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.5 (#266) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.576 (#422) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.383 (#277) | NetEff -3.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.296 (#451) | AdjNet -7.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.276 (#455) | AdjNet -8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.362 (#468) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 60.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Brooklyn | W | 56 - 42 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Alvernia | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Albright | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Kean | W | 51 - 46 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | TCNJ | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Wm. Paterson | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 45 - 44 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 48 - 34 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | York (NY) | W | 86 - 40 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Rowan | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Ramapo | W | 60 - 32 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Kean | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | TCNJ | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 55 - 35 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Ramapo | W | 52 - 49 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Rowan | L | 61 - 65 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Speer | - | 22 | 23.5 | 13.1 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 12.4 | -12 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 47.3 | 34.7 | 77.1 | -0.04 | 56.3 | 51.1 |
| Imene Fathi | - | 25 | 31.4 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 23.4 | 71.7 | 0.55 | 41.1 | 37.5 |
| Katie Rausch | - | 24 | 20.9 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 53 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 26.9 | 25.0 | 62.2 | 0.38 | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| Skylar Fowlkes | - | 21 | 19.7 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 47.3 | 0 | 34.1 | -0.28 | 46.3 | 47.3 |
| Lauren Winant | - | 23 | 22.9 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 5.2 | -18 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 34.2 | 18.8 | 66.2 | -0.26 | 44.9 | 35.5 |
| Brookelyn Graham | - | 24 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 29.2 | 20.7 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 35.3 | 32.6 |
| Brianna Robinson | - | 24 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 12 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 34.9 | 23.5 | 58.3 | 0.17 | 38.9 | 37.2 |
| Aiyonna Alexander | - | 16 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 36.8 | 0 | 68.2 | -0.26 | 45.1 | 36.8 |
| Evangelina Kim | - | 23 | 15.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 28.8 | 26.1 | 63.6 | -0.04 | 39.3 | 33.9 |
| Danielle Jeffreys | - | 25 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 | -17 | -0.9 | -2.7 | 27.1 | 23.3 | 55.6 | -0.39 | 38.1 | 33.1 |
| Jameelyonna Horace | - | 13 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 16.7 | 62.5 | - | 40.6 | 37.1 |
| Chichi Wokocha | - | 2 | 15.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -19 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 12.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.54 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Joy Lecato | - | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jadah Mangum | - | 20 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 27.4 | 18.2 |
| Jade Mendoza | - | 23 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 13.8 | 10.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG