Stockton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#321) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1048 (#248) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1044 (#198) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.9 (#244) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.9 (#356) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.576 (#422) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.465 (#367) | NetEff -0.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.296 (#451) | AdjNet -7.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.276 (#455) | AdjNet -8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.362 (#468) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.571 (#265) | AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.557 (#331) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.572 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#247) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Albright | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | FDU-Florham | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Kean | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | TCNJ | L | 43 - 69 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | McDaniel | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 43 - 77 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Rowan | W | 55 - 43 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ramapo | W | 62 - 43 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Kean | W | 54 - 23 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wm. Paterson | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | TCNJ | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 88 - 35 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 71 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bre Evans | - | 18 | 33.2 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 5.1 | -53 | -2.4 | -13.3 | 34.0 | 21.7 | 61.8 | 0.19 | 41.0 | 36.4 |
| Zemirah Enalls | - | 16 | 22.4 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 13.8 | 40 | 2.1 | 12.5 | 62.3 | 0.0 | 59.1 | 3.03 | 63.0 | 62.3 |
| Imene Fathi | - | 18 | 24.9 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 6.4 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.9 | 39.6 | 31.2 | 81.5 | 1.96 | 50.0 | 46.5 |
| Grace Speer | - | 18 | 22.6 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 8.3 | -13 | -0.6 | -5.5 | 45.1 | 31.6 | 83.3 | 0.54 | 50.8 | 47.4 |
| Madisyn McNair | - | 18 | 30.2 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.6 | -0.8 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 28.9 | 22.1 | 41.7 | 5.03 | 35.1 | 33.2 |
| Lauren Winant | - | 18 | 18.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | -54 | -2.6 | -23.3 | 39.7 | 14.3 | 80.0 | -1.63 | 49.2 | 40.5 |
| Sienna Fedoruk | - | 12 | 22.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 3.0 | -92 | -6.1 | -238.2 | 34.5 | 30.4 | 60.0 | -1.73 | 42.9 | 40.9 |
| Aiyonna Alexander | - | 6 | 12.9 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | -1 | -0.2 | -1.9 | 38.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.45 | 41.9 | 38.1 |
| Haleigh Schafer | - | 15 | 16.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | -61 | -3.4 | -38.0 | 19.4 | 5.6 | 55.0 | -1.85 | 29.5 | 20.2 |
| Riley Fitzpatrick | - | 11 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 0.2 | -18 | -1.4 | -46.9 | 20.0 | 17.6 | 64.3 | -0.48 | 33.2 | 25.0 |
| ChiChi Wokocha | - | 15 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.7 | -75 | -4.2 | -60.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -0.36 | 46.6 | 42.9 |
| Saafiyah Wilson | - | 3 | 8.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | -2 | -0.4 | -4.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | -0.45 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 48 | 3.2 | 36.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Joy LeCato | - | 11 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -0.3 | -21 | -1.4 | -18.2 | 10.0 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.48 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Brookelyn Graham | - | 1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 11 | 3.7 | 80.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG