Stevenson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 886 (#422) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 935 (#419) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#501) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.6 (#201) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.6 (#463) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.219 (#573) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.285 (#419) | NetEff -6.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.194 (#492) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.181 (#493) | AdjNet -12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.325 (#488) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.403 (#533) | AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.460 (#410) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.437 (#428) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 958 (#370) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | UMBC | L | 49 - 90 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | McDaniel | L | 43 - 63 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Juniata | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 44 - 51 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 97 - 33 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Salisbury | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 45 - 68 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 36 - 73 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Oberlin | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Alvernia | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Hood | W | 58 - 41 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Eastern | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | York (PA) | W | 54 - 42 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Widener | L | 76 - 91 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Albright | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alvernia | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Hood | W | 53 - 39 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Eastern | W | 64 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaya Price | - | 20 | 32.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 7.5 | -13 | -0.7 | -2.6 | 41.2 | 33.1 | 87.0 | 0.41 | 56.3 | 50.5 |
| Janiya Ennis | - | 18 | 27.1 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 13.3 | 2.3 | 20 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 32.6 | 24.4 | 52.1 | 2.01 | 36.7 | 34.7 |
| Nadia Ferguson | - | 20 | 25.3 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 3.0 | -30 | -1.5 | -7.0 | 38.4 | 22.2 | 63.6 | 0.3 | 43.3 | 40.4 |
| Tessa Boswell | - | 20 | 23.9 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 30.6 | 26.8 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 40.3 | 39.7 |
| Aliyah Jean-Jacques | - | 19 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 4.2 | -61 | -3.2 | -50.9 | 50.6 | 0 | 53.3 | -2.88 | 51.4 | 50.6 |
| Elia Richardson | - | 20 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.1 | 32.6 | 29.6 | 62.5 | -1.18 | 46.0 | 41.9 |
| Kalea Wynter | - | 20 | 18.9 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 53.6 | 0.84 | 47.7 | 45.8 |
| Sanaa Thorne | - | 19 | 13.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | -72 | -3.8 | -40.4 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 52.6 | -4.28 | 37.1 | 33.9 |
| Destiny Towns | - | 20 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 34.1 | 0 | 54.8 | -2.63 | 42.9 | 34.1 |
| Charlie Henry | - | 1 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -96 | -4.6 | -28.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Janie Smith | - | 15 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 22 | 1.6 | 26.5 | 26.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.59 | 31.6 | 32.9 |
| Allahna Foreman | - | 6 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.83 | 44.6 | 44.4 |
| Lauren Caulden | - | 6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 12 | 2.4 | 189.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Mina Hashemzadeh | - | 16 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 11 | 0.7 | 14.7 | 19.0 | 14.3 | 80.0 | -0.32 | 33.5 | 21.4 |
| Isabella Serano | - | 16 | 9.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 83.3 | 1.35 | 23.8 | 17.7 |
| Taylor Johnson | - | 2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 40.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.05 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Korai Bowen | - | 6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 29 | 5.8 | 1221.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG