🐻⬇️🏀

Stevenson

Also known as: Stevenson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 886 (#422) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 935 (#419) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 986 (#501) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.6 (#201) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.6 (#463) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.219 (#573) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.3 More → 0.285 (#419) NetEff -6.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.194 (#492) AdjNet -12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.181 (#493) AdjNet -12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.325 (#488) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.403 (#533) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 60.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#410) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.437 (#428) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 958 (#370) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UMBC L 49 - 90
2025-11-07 @ McDaniel L 43 - 63
2025-11-08 @ Juniata W 65 - 50
2025-11-18 @ Bridgewater (VA) L 44 - 51
2025-11-21 vs Trinity Washington W 97 - 33
2025-11-25 @ Washington Col. L 54 - 59
2025-12-03 @ Salisbury W 84 - 80
2025-12-13 @ Wash. & Lee L 45 - 68
2025-12-16 vs Gettysburg L 66 - 82
2025-12-29 @ Baldwin Wallace L 36 - 73
2025-12-30 vs Oberlin L 57 - 70
2026-01-10 @ Alvernia L 52 - 56
2026-01-14 @ Hood W 58 - 41
2026-01-17 vs Eastern W 62 - 53
2026-01-21 vs York (PA) W 54 - 42
2026-01-24 @ Widener L 76 - 91
2026-01-29 @ Albright W 61 - 59
2026-01-31 vs Alvernia L 50 - 61
2026-02-04 vs Hood W 53 - 39
2026-02-07 @ Eastern W 64 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anaya Price - 20 32.3 14.2 2.8 1.5 1.4 0.3 1.6 11.1 7.5 -13 -0.7 -2.6 41.2 33.1 87.0 0.41 56.3 50.5
Janiya Ennis - 18 27.1 10.6 3.7 3.4 1.7 0.2 4.0 13.3 2.3 20 1.1 6.3 32.6 24.4 52.1 2.01 36.7 34.7
Nadia Ferguson - 20 25.3 7.0 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.3 3.0 7.3 3.0 -30 -1.5 -7.0 38.4 22.2 63.6 0.3 43.3 40.4
Tessa Boswell - 20 23.9 5.0 4.9 0.7 0.7 0.5 1.6 6.0 4.2 3 0.1 0.8 30.6 26.8 50.0 0.29 40.3 39.7
Aliyah Jean-Jacques - 19 11.1 4.7 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 4.3 4.2 -61 -3.2 -50.9 50.6 0 53.3 -2.88 51.4 50.6
Elia Richardson - 20 13.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.9 4.3 0.6 -4 -0.2 -2.1 32.6 29.6 62.5 -1.18 46.0 41.9
Kalea Wynter - 20 18.9 4.5 5.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.2 4.2 7.3 9 0.5 2.9 45.8 0.0 53.6 0.84 47.7 45.8
Sanaa Thorne - 19 13.2 2.6 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.3 -72 -3.8 -40.4 33.9 0.0 52.6 -4.28 37.1 33.9
Destiny Towns - 20 15.1 2.5 5.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.9 2.0 7.0 -3 -0.1 -1.0 34.1 0 54.8 -2.63 42.9 34.1
Charlie Henry - 1 4.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -96 -4.6 -28.2 50.0 0 0 1.39 50.0 50.0
Janie Smith - 15 8.0 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.7 1.1 22 1.6 26.5 26.8 25.0 0.0 0.59 31.6 32.9
Allahna Foreman - 6 6.1 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 0 0.0 0.0 44.4 0.0 40.0 0.83 44.6 44.4
Lauren Caulden - 6 4.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 12 2.4 189.5 60.0 50.0 100.0 0.81 73.5 70.0
Mina Hashemzadeh - 16 6.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.6 11 0.7 14.7 19.0 14.3 80.0 -0.32 33.5 21.4
Isabella Serano - 16 9.6 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.7 1.9 0.8 1 0.1 0.7 16.1 5.6 83.3 1.35 23.8 17.7
Taylor Johnson - 2 6.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 18 1.2 40.9 33.3 0.0 0 1.05 33.3 33.3
Korai Bowen - 6 5.6 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.5 29 5.8 1221.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG