🐻⬇️🏀

Stevenson

Also known as: Stevenson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#418) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 981 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 986 (#501) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -1.7 (#239) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.6 (#463) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.219 (#573) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.3 More → 0.285 (#419) NetEff -6.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.194 (#492) AdjNet -12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.181 (#493) AdjNet -12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.325 (#488) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.403 (#533) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 60.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#409) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.437 (#428) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 956 (#375) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UMBC - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 @ McDaniel - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Juniata - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Bridgewater (VA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Trinity Washington - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Washington Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Salisbury - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Wash. & Lee - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Gettysburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Baldwin Wallace - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Oberlin - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Alvernia - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Hood - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Eastern - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs York (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Widener - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Albright - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Alvernia - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Hood - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Eastern - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anaya Price - 19 32.9 14.3 2.7 1.6 1.4 0.3 1.4 11.3 7.7 -13 -0.7 -2.6 40.7 32.5 87.9 0.73 55.8 49.8
Janiya Ennis - 17 27.3 10.6 3.8 3.5 1.7 0.2 3.8 13.3 2.8 20 1.1 6.3 32.7 25.0 50.0 2.88 36.8 35.0
Nadia Ferguson - 19 25.8 7.2 3.1 2.0 1.3 0.3 3.0 7.6 3.3 -30 -1.5 -7.0 38.9 22.2 65.5 -1.38 43.7 41.0
Tessa Boswell - 19 24.2 5.3 5.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 1.6 6.3 4.3 3 0.1 0.8 31.1 27.5 50.0 2.11 40.9 40.3
Aliyah Jean-Jacques - 18 11.1 4.7 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 4.2 4.1 -61 -3.2 -50.9 50.0 0 53.3 -1.83 50.8 50.0
Elia Richardson - 19 13.5 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.7 4.3 0.7 -4 -0.2 -2.1 33.3 31.4 61.5 -1.65 46.5 43.2
Kalea Wynter - 19 18.7 4.3 5.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.2 4.1 7.5 9 0.5 2.9 44.2 0.0 50.0 -1.09 45.8 44.2
Sanaa Thorne - 18 13.5 2.8 3.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.5 -72 -3.8 -40.4 33.9 0.0 52.6 -2.97 37.1 33.9
Destiny Towns - 19 15.1 2.6 5.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.0 2.2 7.1 -3 -0.1 -1.0 34.1 0 55.0 -0.24 42.7 34.1
Allahna Foreman - 5 6.7 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.8 0 0.0 0.0 44.4 0.0 50.0 -0.03 46.5 44.4
Charlie Henry - 1 4.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -96 -4.6 -28.2 50.0 0 0 0.02 50.0 50.0
Janie Smith - 14 7.5 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 2.8 1.1 22 1.6 26.5 28.2 26.3 0.0 1.78 33.1 34.6
Lauren Caulden - 5 4.1 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 12 2.4 189.5 75.0 100.0 100.0 -2.02 90.1 87.5
Mina Hashemzadeh - 15 6.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.6 11 0.7 14.7 15.0 14.3 80.0 0.48 30.7 17.5
Isabella Serano - 16 9.6 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.7 1.9 0.8 1 0.1 0.7 16.1 5.6 83.3 1.63 23.8 17.7
Taylor Johnson - 2 6.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 18 1.2 40.9 33.3 0.0 0 0.38 33.3 33.3
Korai Bowen - 5 5.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 -0.2 29 5.8 1221.1 0.0 0.0 0 1.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG