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Stephen F. Austin

Also known as: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

104.5
PPG
46.5
Opp
+58.0
Margin
46.7%
FG%
45.0%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
55.5
RPG
24.5
APG
7.5
TO
74.6
Est. poss./game

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1034 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning -12, transfers -29, freshmen +10 More โ†’ 1034 (#122) Preseason prior 1034 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning -12, transfers -29, freshmen +10
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +232 elo More โ†’ 1042 (#117) HCA +232 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +232 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#122) HCA +232 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.3 More โ†’ +2.7 (#124) HCA +1.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.3 More โ†’ +2.6 (#124) HCA +1.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.549 (#138) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ†’ 0.542 (#129) -
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ†’ 0.542 (#129) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ†’ 0.556 (#121) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ†’ 0.536 (#127) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.564 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.560 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ†’ 1043 (#132) -
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More โ†’ 0.601 (#121) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Lyon Scots W 120 - 61
2026-11-06 vs Texas Lutheran Bulldogs W 89 - 32
2026-11-11 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats - Preview
2026-11-14 vs Rice Owls - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Narit Chotikavanic Narit Chotikavanic G 2 17.0 14.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 12.0 23 1 23.0 51.4 66.7 66.7 0 1.73 93.3 93.3
Erik Makke Erik Makke G 2 17.0 12.5 3.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.5 29 1 29.0 64.8 50.0 50.0 100.0 1.13 74.1 71.9
Marcus Scurry Marcus Scurry G 2 13.0 12.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 8.5 10.5 21 1 21.0 63.0 47.1 41.7 60.0 0.17 62.5 61.8
MJ Russell MJ Russell G 2 17.5 10.5 4.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 1.5 7.5 9.5 22 1 22.0 44.3 40.0 62.5 44.4 -0.32 55.4 56.7
Gediminas Alisas Gediminas Alisas F 2 16.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 11.0 18 1 18.0 50.9 63.6 0.0 66.7 -0.71 66.0 63.6
Kobi Pearson Kobi Pearson F 2 14.5 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 4.0 7.5 22 1 22.0 62.1 62.5 100.0 60.0 0.06 68.6 68.8
Edwin Daniel Edwin Daniel F 2 15.5 6.5 5.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 0.5 6.0 10.0 16 1 16.0 43.0 50.0 0 50.0 0.26 50.5 50.0
Manu Manciel Manu Manciel G 2 13.0 5.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 8.0 1.5 10 1 10.0 34.6 18.8 25.0 100.0 0.03 32.6 28.1
Amari Reed Amari Reed F 2 11.0 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 12.5 23 1 23.0 83.6 66.7 0 77.8 1.65 79.0 66.7
Ashton Simmons Ashton Simmons G 2 17.5 5.5 4.0 6.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.5 9.5 29 1 29.0 73.7 36.4 25.0 100.0 0.37 46.3 40.9
Courterius Scott Courterius Scott G 2 14.5 5.0 2.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.5 28 1 28.0 69.5 50.0 50.0 0 0.8 62.5 62.5
Christian Green Christian Green G 2 18.0 4.0 4.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 3.5 8.0 26 1 26.0 53.8 42.9 0 100.0 -0.43 50.8 42.9
Easton Hupp Easton Hupp G 2 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 1.0 9 1 9.0 55.2 42.9 33.3 0 -0.17 57.1 57.1
Kensington Candler Kensington Candler G 2 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 2.5 9 1 9.0 47.4 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.06 50.9 50.0
Bryceson Melvin Bryceson Melvin G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Stephen F. Austin players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Stephen F. Austin game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Thomas Walkup 2012-16 EuroLeague Dubai Basketball 6 12.9 2.2 1.5 2.2 10-15 0 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast 2 GP, 1.5 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-15 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball @ Armani Olimpia Milan 15 0 1 2 Box
2026-10-13 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball @ Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 14 3 3 2 Box
2026-10-08 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade 15 0 2 3 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

152 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Alisas24% Daniel30% Simmons50% Scott100% Simmons100% Hupp50% Scott50% Makke21% Chotikavanic40% Makke23%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Daniel21% Simmons17% Russell67% Simmons33% Manciel40% Simmons100% Manciel30% Simmons33% Candler27%
Misses: who misses most here

Narit ChotikavanicErik MakkeMJ RussellGediminas AlisasEdwin DanielCourterius ScottAshton SimmonsManu MancielEaston HuppKensington Candler

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 21-40 52.5 42 Gediminas Alisas 24% (10 pts) Kobi Pearson 19% (8 pts) Edwin Daniel 21% (4 misses) Christian Green 16% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 10-22 45.5 20 Edwin Daniel 30% (6 pts) Christian Green 20% (4 pts) Ashton Simmons 17% (2 misses) Edwin Daniel 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 2-5 40.0 4 Ashton Simmons 50% (2 pts) Marcus Scurry 50% (2 pts) MJ Russell 67% (2 misses) Ashton Simmons 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-1 100.0 2 Courterius Scott 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Ashton Simmons 100% (2 pts) - Ashton Simmons 33% (1 misses) Kobi Pearson 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Easton Hupp 50% (3 pts) Narit Chotikavanic 50% (3 pts) Manu Manciel 40% (2 misses) Easton Hupp 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-3 66.7 6 Courterius Scott 50% (3 pts) Manu Manciel 50% (3 pts) Ashton Simmons 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 14-34 41.2 42 Erik Makke 21% (9 pts) MJ Russell 21% (9 pts) Manu Manciel 30% (6 misses) Erik Makke 15% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-8 62.5 15 Narit Chotikavanic 40% (6 pts) Erik Makke 20% (3 pts) Ashton Simmons 33% (1 misses) Erik Makke 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 13-28 46.4 39 Erik Makke 23% (9 pts) Marcus Scurry 23% (9 pts) Kensington Candler 27% (4 misses) Erik Makke 20% (3 misses)