Stanford
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1570 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1202 (#7) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +36.4 (#37) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.2 (#16) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.907 (#2) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.896 (#10) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.898 (#10) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.747 (#13) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.871 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1419 (#4) | RD 122 | GP 32 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2003-11-25 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ | Rice | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2003-12-06 | N | Kansas | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Nevada–Las Vegas | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2003-12-15 | vs | Florida International | W | 77 - 50 |
| 2003-12-20 | N | Gonzaga | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 67 - 37 |
| 2003-12-28 | vs | Harvard | W | 100 - 59 |
| 2004-01-02 | vs | Washington State | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2004-01-04 | vs | Washington | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2004-01-08 | @ | Arizona State | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Arizona | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | California | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2004-01-22 | vs | UCLA | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Southern California | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2004-01-29 | @ | Oregon State | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Oregon | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2004-02-05 | vs | Arizona State | W | 81 - 51 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Arizona | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | California | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2004-02-19 | @ | Southern California | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | UCLA | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2004-02-26 | vs | Oregon State | W | 73 - 47 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Oregon | W | 76 - 55 |
| 2004-03-04 | @ | Washington State | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | Washington | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | Washington State | W | 68 - 47 |
| 2004-03-12 | N | Oregon | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2004-03-13 | N | Washington | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2004-03-18 | N | UTSA | W | 71 - 45 |
| 2004-03-20 | N | Alabama | L | 67 - 70 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.