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St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022
Also known as: St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

81.6
PPG
72.4
Opp
+9.8
Margin
50.4%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
68.5%
FT%
33.3
RPG
16.9
APG
9.8
TO
76.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1091 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 1066 (#82) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → +3.0 (#129) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → +1.7 (#140) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.800 (#45) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.571 (#121) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.590 (#83) -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 1040 (#146) -

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Minessale N. Minessale - 31 31.0 19.2 4.6 4.2 1.5 0.5 2.1 13.2 14.8 253 8.7 24.5 49.3 29.2 74.6 1.51 59.6 53.9
N. Janowski N. Janowski - 31 31.6 16.4 5.3 2.1 0.7 0.2 1.3 12.4 11.0 145 6.0 10.9 49.6 33.9 65.7 0.52 58.8 56.9
I. Johnson-Arigu I. Johnson-Arigu F 30 21.1 10.5 3.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.3 6.8 8.5 55 5.5 24.8 54.6 32.9 66.7 -0.06 63.2 60.5
C. Bjerke C. Bjerke - 31 24.9 9.6 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 6.6 7.7 59 4.5 14.7 50.5 45.6 62.5 0.33 68.6 68.4
B. Oosterbaan B. Oosterbaan - 31 24.4 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.8 6.2 8.0 136 5.7 19.0 49.7 36.6 70.8 0.13 60.5 59.4
R. Dufault R. Dufault - 30 17.7 5.9 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.6 23 2.6 11.4 66.7 33.3 66.7 -0.21 69.4 68.1
A. Herro A. Herro - 24 23.8 5.7 4.0 3.5 1.7 0.4 1.4 3.3 10.6 1 0.1 0.4 55.7 42.4 77.3 0.52 69.1 64.6
J. Coleman J. Coleman - 31 13.6 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.6 2.7 -5 -0.2 -0.9 40.7 34.8 63.6 -0.2 55.6 54.9
H. Tibbits H. Tibbits - 24 11.2 3.2 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.0 52 3.2 32.3 43.5 34.9 47.4 -0.21 55.4 55.6
T. Franks T. Franks - 14 4.2 2.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.9 11 0.9 20.2 57.9 66.7 60.0 -0.06 73.1 73.7
K. Counts K. Counts - 4 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.0 -5 -1.0 -14.5 66.7 50.0 0 -0.05 83.3 83.3
R. Lafferty R. Lafferty - 10 14.8 1.1 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.2 1.2 3.2 31 2.8 14.3 41.7 20.0 0.0 0.0 42.7 45.8
T. Humphries T. Humphries G 8 4.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.8 9 1.0 32.0 27.3 25.0 50.0 0.05 33.7 31.8
A. Tauer A. Tauer - 11 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1 0.1 5.4 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.15 42.5 40.0
J. Tauer J. Tauer - 10 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 4 1.3 63.2 50.0 100.0 0.0 0.01 45.2 75.0
Luka Momcilovic Luka Momcilovic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG