St. Thomas (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1180 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1278 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1166 (#37) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.0 (#21) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.1 (#299) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.862 (#263) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.820 (#225) | AdjNet +13.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.779 (#241) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.661 (#253) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.641 (#164) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.642 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.665 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1283 (#21) | RD 157 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Thompson | - | 5 | 30.1 | 14.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 292 | 10.8 | 62.2 | 42.9 | 22.7 | 81.2 | 5.47 | 51.4 | 46.8 |
| Angel Johnson | - | 5 | 31.7 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 17.0 | 201 | 10.1 | 36.7 | 54.1 | 50.0 | 76.7 | 0.53 | 63.7 | 55.4 |
| Amari Leflore | - | 1 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 23 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 0.78 | 65.2 | 57.1 |
| Reyce Allen | - | 5 | 25.7 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 107 | 5.1 | 26.5 | 48.9 | 0 | 92.3 | 2.2 | 55.0 | 48.9 |
| Koye Rondeno | - | 1 | 25.6 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Nathan Kongolo | - | 5 | 27.6 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 201 | 10.1 | 39.5 | 43.6 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 2.66 | 56.5 | 50.0 |
| Charles Gitonga | - | 5 | 24.6 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 10.2 | 184 | 9.2 | 45.9 | 61.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 3.2 | 63.9 | 61.3 |
| Luke Coughran | - | 1 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Jalen Cherry | - | 1 | 31.4 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -3.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Kamga | - | 1 | 25.7 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 52 | 3.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Danny Canul | - | 4 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 15 | 1.2 | 13.5 | 53.8 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.9 | 77.7 | 69.2 |
| Jeremiah Smith | - | 1 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -9 | -1.5 | -39.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 133.0 | 150.0 |
| Garret Rodgers | - | 3 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 10 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.56 | 95.6 | 91.7 |
| Jordan Malveaux | - | 1 | 15.9 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.18 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Nicholas Buffalo | - | 5 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 46 | 2.3 | 14.2 | 62.5 | 0 | 72.7 | -0.17 | 70.1 | 62.5 |
| Jaden Ross | - | 5 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 44 | 3.1 | 16.3 | 31.8 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -1.3 | 37.2 | 34.1 |
| Tamarcus Butler | - | 3 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 20 | 2.2 | 29.6 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.98 | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| CK Egbo | - | 5 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 36.7 | 36.7 |
| Dirk Johnson | - | 1 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -34 | -2.4 | -13.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.97 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Willis | - | 1 | 22.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.32 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Dyllan Baker | - | 3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 33 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Maksat Hojaberdiyev | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.0 | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.83 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Luke Martinez | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG