St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
70.7
PPG
46.3
Opp
+24.3
Margin
44.1%
FG%
32.9%
3P%
65.8%
FT%
41.0
RPG
17.0
APG
16.3
TO
69.9
Est. poss./game
61.4
Adj PPG
64.7
Adj Opp PPG
#156
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1021 (#150) | Preseason prior 1040 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1010, returning +88, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1022 (#142) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#151) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.2 (#198) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.2 (#198) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.458 (#165) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.457 (#173) | AdjNet -13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.453 (#176) | AdjNet -13.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.510 (#156) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.499 (#161) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.469 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.467 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1011 (#148) | RD 222 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.512 (#156) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthers | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2026-11-04 | vs | Bethel (MN) Royals | W | 77 - 43 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | St. Catherine Wildcats | W | 76 - 29 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Army Black Knights | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alyssa Sand
|
F | 3 | 24.7 | 12.0 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 53 | 3 | 17.7 | 29.0 | 46.9 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 2.82 | 51.3 | 48.4 |
Mikayla Werner
|
G | 3 | 27.3 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 13.7 | 39 | 3 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 0.79 | 54.9 | 52.3 |
Abbey Vallance
|
G | 3 | 18.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 51 | 3 | 17.0 | 36.9 | 50.0 | 55.6 | 75.0 | 2.96 | 67.6 | 65.6 |
Samantha Voll
|
G | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | -10 | 1 | -10.0 | -13.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.87 | 35.4 | 33.3 |
Laura Hauge
|
G | 3 | 24.0 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 42 | 3 | 14.0 | 23.4 | 25.9 | 27.8 | 0 | 0.17 | 35.2 | 35.2 |
Autumn McCall
|
F | 3 | 17.3 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 11.6 | 41.2 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -2.78 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
Savannah McGowan
|
F | 3 | 17.0 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 8.7 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 15.1 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -2.94 | 58.2 | 60.0 |
Addison Schliewe
|
F | 2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 19.3 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
Maya Kovacic
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 40 | 3 | 13.3 | 28.5 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 1.1 | 66.0 | 62.5 |
Jayci Rath
|
F | 3 | 23.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 47 | 3 | 15.7 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 36.4 | 0 | 1.1 | 53.3 | 53.3 |
Savanah Gardner
|
F | 2 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 17 | 2 | 8.5 | 36.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Tessa Driscoll
|
G | 2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 16 | 2 | 8.0 | 55.4 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.21 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
Lydia Aalsma
|
G | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 19 | 2 | 9.5 | 53.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
Savannah Gage
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kammie Ludwig
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Morgan Staloch
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
122 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Alyssa SandJayci RathLaura HaugeMaya KovacicAbbey Vallance
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-38 | 55.3 | 42 | Alyssa Sand 24% (10 pts) | Mikayla Werner 24% (10 pts) | Alyssa Sand 29% (5 misses) | Mikayla Werner 29% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-34 | 41.2 | 28 | Alyssa Sand 36% (10 pts) | Savannah McGowan 21% (6 pts) | Alyssa Sand 35% (7 misses) | Autumn McCall 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Laura Hauge 75% (3 misses) | Alyssa Sand 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 | Alyssa Sand 50% (2 pts) | Samantha Voll 50% (2 pts) | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Alyssa Sand 50% (1 misses) | Savannah McGowan 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-9 | 55.6 | 15 | Abbey Vallance 20% (3 pts) | Autumn McCall 20% (3 pts) | Laura Hauge 50% (2 misses) | Autumn McCall 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Laura Hauge 50% (2 misses) | Autumn McCall 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Maya Kovacic 67% (6 pts) | Jayci Rath 33% (3 pts) | Laura Hauge 33% (2 misses) | Samantha Voll 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-4 | 75.0 | 9 | Abbey Vallance 33% (3 pts) | Jayci Rath 33% (3 pts) | Jayci Rath 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Alyssa Sand 33% (3 pts) | Laura Hauge 33% (3 pts) | Jayci Rath 31% (4 misses) | Laura Hauge 23% (3 misses) |