St. Scholastica
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1013 (#223) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1165 (#76) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1089 (#108) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.7 (#78) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.4 (#269) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.499 (#451) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.786 (#229) | NetEff +9.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.608 (#341) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.604 (#341) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.536 (#350) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.637 (#190) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.679 (#234) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.678 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1174 (#85) | RD 100 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Minn.-Morris | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Wis.-Superior | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 58 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Augsburg | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | St. Catherine | W | 66 - 39 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Cal Lutheran | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | St. Olaf | W | 64 - 50 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Macalester | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Bethel (MN) | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Carleton | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Augsburg | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint Benedict | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Macalester | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bethel (MN) | L | 71 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Haus | - | 17 | 35.0 | 17.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 138 | 6.6 | 22.8 | 36.1 | 31.3 | 87.3 | 1.6 | 51.6 | 45.1 |
| Kloey Lind | - | 17 | 26.1 | 15.2 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 161 | 7.7 | 32.1 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 64.9 | 2.15 | 58.5 | 55.0 |
| Evie Schmitz | - | 17 | 27.7 | 14.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 11.5 | 7.1 | -67 | -3.4 | -15.8 | 40.0 | 40.8 | 76.4 | 0.57 | 54.3 | 50.3 |
| Jackie Johnson | - | 14 | 19.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 88 | 4.9 | 29.8 | 25.3 | 23.9 | 81.2 | 1.84 | 40.1 | 35.4 |
| Ryaan Speer | - | 16 | 20.6 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 32.4 | 7.7 | 75.9 | 1.13 | 42.1 | 33.8 |
| Gabby Voigt | - | 17 | 21.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 37 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 38.2 | 20.0 | 81.8 | 1.01 | 46.0 | 42.6 |
| Ava Riegel | - | 17 | 30.6 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 144 | 6.9 | 28.8 | 37.3 | 0.0 | 59.4 | 1.59 | 43.8 | 37.3 |
| Jada Bierschbach | - | 14 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | -18 | -1.0 | -10.9 | 53.6 | 16.7 | 57.1 | -0.0 | 56.3 | 55.4 |
| Savannah Schlueter | - | 13 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -11.8 | 25.9 | 24.0 | 75.0 | 0.21 | 40.0 | 37.0 |
| Daysia Simmons | - | 7 | 8.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | -9 | -1.3 | -19.9 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.95 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Kate Toewe | - | 14 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -16 | -0.9 | -26.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 45.8 | 33.3 |
| Paxyn Rendahl | - | 8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -13 | -1.4 | -257.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nia Hacker | - | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG