St. Olaf
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 894 (#412) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 887 (#386) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#208) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.134 (#614) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.211 (#323) | NetEff -10.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.204 (#491) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.199 (#488) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#479) | AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 64.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Grinnell | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | North Central (MN) | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 72 - 38 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Minn.-Morris | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Saint Benedict | L | 42 - 60 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | St. Catherine | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | Martin Luther | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Bethel (MN) | L | 48 - 77 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | St. Scholastica | L | 43 - 48 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Hamline | L | 43 - 55 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Augsburg | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Carleton | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Saint Benedict | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | St. Catherine | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Concordia-M'head | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Augsburg | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 36 - 66 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Macalester | L | 57 - 78 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Hamline | L | 51 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloee Smith | - | 25 | 33.0 | 14.6 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 11.6 | 13.2 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 48.5 | 39.0 | 78.1 | 0.36 | 57.0 | 54.0 |
| Sophia Kormann | - | 25 | 29.0 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 8.9 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.8 | 44.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.18 | 49.7 | 44.3 |
| Paige Yagodinski | - | 13 | 19.5 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 10 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 45.5 | 32.1 | 83.3 | 0.0 | 56.0 | 53.2 |
| Joy Brandenstein | - | 25 | 30.4 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 3.0 | -48 | -1.4 | -1.4 | 36.8 | 35.9 | 81.6 | -0.47 | 47.1 | 43.0 |
| Sarah Tangen | - | 23 | 24.9 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 2.2 | -41 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 29.1 | 32.3 | 65.2 | -0.28 | 40.7 | 38.6 |
| Bree Wilkerson | - | 23 | 21.0 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 2.3 | -71 | -2.3 | -3.0 | 32.7 | 35.0 | 44.1 | -0.82 | 40.6 | 39.3 |
| Ziling Zhen | - | 25 | 22.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 2.4 | -40 | -1.7 | -2.3 | 37.5 | 31.0 | 70.0 | -0.36 | 45.2 | 43.8 |
| Kyla Elsbury | - | 25 | 13.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 0.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 21.4 | 23.4 | 77.8 | 0.21 | 32.9 | 30.6 |
| Emily Courchaine | - | 19 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 21.4 | 83.3 | 0.01 | 42.7 | 31.2 |
| Grace Gertner | - | 25 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | -35 | -1.3 | -2.6 | 14.3 | 12.5 | 81.0 | -0.33 | 36.3 | 17.9 |
| Kaylee Cole | - | 16 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Elise Hahn | - | 22 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.09 | 33.3 | 14.3 |
| Glory Johanson | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -14 | -0.7 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.43 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Kaia Krocak | - | 18 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sophia Jensen | - | 17 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -36 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Naomi Kempcke | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG