St. Mary's (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1059 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1024 (#221) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.5 (#131) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.7 (#173) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.218 (#480) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.978 (#89) | NetEff +24.7 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.970 (#94) | NetEff +27.1 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.335 (#325) | NetEff -5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.606 (#354) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.628 (#347) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#336) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#156) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.674 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1102 (#104) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | UTRGV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Lamar University | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Western N.M. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Sul Ross St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | UIW | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Texas Woman's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Midwestern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Texas Woman's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UT Tyler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Okla. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Texas-Dallas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christin Callens | - | 16 | 26.6 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 5.4 | 27 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 43.2 | 26.7 | 83.3 | 2.91 | 49.9 | 44.5 |
| Allie Garcia | - | 16 | 26.0 | 10.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 66 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 48.2 | 31.1 | 72.2 | 1.54 | 57.9 | 56.5 |
| Aina Maynou | - | 16 | 25.8 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 30 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 41.7 | 33.3 | 88.2 | 0.02 | 55.4 | 52.3 |
| Quezia Bertoni | - | 13 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 18 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 46.4 | 40.0 | 91.4 | 1.84 | 65.8 | 55.4 |
| Raynne Malik | - | 16 | 27.1 | 6.1 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 11.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 40.0 | 16.0 | 61.0 | -0.01 | 47.1 | 42.4 |
| Imani Ivery | - | 13 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 74 | 4.6 | 29.1 | 44.3 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 3.39 | 50.3 | 52.9 |
| Brianna Vargas | - | 16 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -24 | -1.3 | -13.8 | 45.2 | 42.4 | 50.0 | -3.03 | 61.8 | 61.9 |
| Lena Newby | - | 16 | 12.6 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 28 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 41.4 | 28.6 | 27.3 | 0.15 | 42.2 | 43.1 |
| Tiara Louis | - | 16 | 15.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | -61 | -2.9 | -26.4 | 38.6 | 37.1 | 50.0 | -3.05 | 53.6 | 53.4 |
| Andrea Montesinos | - | 16 | 16.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 18.9 | 24.0 | 81.8 | -2.22 | 34.7 | 27.0 |
| Cornelia Petersson | - | 5 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -2.21 | 59.2 | 50.0 |
| Peyton Stellato | - | 2 | 12.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 | -11 | -3.7 | -23.4 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Sian Phipps | - | 12 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -13 | -0.9 | -47.9 | 22.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 2.7 | 30.4 | 22.7 |
| Emily Buitron | - | 7 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -7 | -1.0 | -33.6 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Brooke Kleinig | - | 9 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -28 | -2.5 | -76.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 58.0 | 58.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG