🐻⬇️🏀

St. John Fisher

Also known as: St. John Fisher
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1009 (#223) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +4.1 (#144) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.910 (#238) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +12.0 More → 0.824 (#111) NetEff +12.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.820 (#260) AdjNet +13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.827 (#256) AdjNet +13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 60.8 More → 0.666 (#264) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 60.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Susquehanna W 77 - 64
2024-11-09 @ Chatham W 73 - 63
2024-11-12 @ Penn St.-Behrend L 60 - 84
2024-11-16 vs Ohio Northern L 53 - 59
2024-11-17 vs Wittenberg L 67 - 76
2024-11-19 @ Ithaca W 73 - 67
2024-11-21 @ Rochester (NY) W 71 - 62
2024-11-23 @ RIT W 68 - 61
2024-12-03 @ Cortland L 81 - 88
2025-01-07 @ Alfred W 85 - 52
2025-01-10 vs SUNY Poly W 81 - 37
2025-01-11 vs Utica W 75 - 57
2025-01-14 vs Houghton W 81 - 62
2025-01-17 @ Russell Sage W 81 - 52
2025-01-18 @ Hartwick W 62 - 38
2025-01-24 vs Keuka W 76 - 47
2025-01-25 vs Elmira W 79 - 63
2025-01-28 vs Nazareth W 83 - 72
2025-01-31 @ Utica W 79 - 69
2025-02-01 @ SUNY Poly W 58 - 35
2025-02-07 @ SUNY Geneseo L 41 - 54
2025-02-08 @ SUNY Brockport W 70 - 67
2025-02-14 vs Hartwick W 74 - 36
2025-02-15 vs Russell Sage L 75 - 80
2025-02-18 @ Nazareth L 53 - 74
2025-02-22 vs Houghton W 72 - 55
2025-02-26 @ SUNY Geneseo L 54 - 72

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sidney Tomasso - 26 36.0 19.2 9.3 1.7 1.8 0.5 1.4 14.8 16.4 100 4.2 3.7 38.7 35.3 86.5 0.35 54.4 45.8
Katie Moravec - 27 34.1 16.6 5.8 4.1 1.9 0.2 3.8 11.8 13.1 112 4.5 4.5 48.4 32.3 75.0 0.5 57.8 51.7
Presleigh Brunner - 27 27.6 10.4 4.4 1.4 0.9 0.2 1.5 10.2 5.6 63 2.5 2.2 43.1 38.6 87.5 0.33 49.0 47.1
Kelly Moravec - 27 20.0 7.2 2.5 1.0 1.1 0.2 1.8 6.7 3.6 76 3.0 4.3 34.4 27.9 71.2 0.35 46.6 41.1
Hannah Ferguson - 27 21.6 5.7 3.9 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.2 5.1 5.5 79 2.5 3.8 43.8 28.6 75.0 0.29 51.9 48.9
Emily Mclaughlin - 14 27.6 5.6 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.6 5.4 4.9 85 3.4 4.7 38.2 34.0 50.0 0.68 50.2 50.0
Danielle Seamon - 27 12.1 2.7 2.8 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.8 3.1 3.1 83 3.5 5.0 41.0 100.0 36.4 0.67 41.6 41.6
Alexa Gibson - 25 10.2 2.0 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.6 2.2 3.0 37 1.7 3.0 41.1 0.0 62.5 0.29 42.8 41.1
Ashley Pavan - 18 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 22 1.5 14.4 26.3 20.0 0 0.21 28.9 28.9
Valerosa Gambitta - 19 2.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 -15 -1.4 -2.2 75.0 100.0 50.0 0.44 78.1 87.5
Julia Perales - 18 3.6 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 88 4.2 11.6 7.1 0.0 83.3 0.85 21.0 7.1
Tanleigh Bestine - 15 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 - - - 16.7 20.0 75.0 - 38.7 25.0
Rachael Hager - 16 4.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 -0.4 34 2.6 16.2 6.2 7.1 0 0.27 9.4 9.4
Leah Khuu - 18 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 -8 -0.9 -2.6 11.1 0.0 100.0 -0.13 20.2 11.1
Lindsay Martin - 15 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -117 -3.9 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
Carlee Elliott - 11 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG