St. Cloud St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 943 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#272) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.7 (#80) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.553 (#339) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.671 (#175) | NetEff +5.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.925 (#185) | AdjNet +21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.933 (#183) | AdjNet +22.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.785 (#184) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 57.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Eggebrecht | - | 29 | 30.1 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 6.3 | -34 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 41.6 | 35.3 | 94.7 | 0.78 | 52.6 | 48.5 |
| Alana Zarneke | - | 29 | 25.8 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 8.1 | -13 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 39.9 | 39.4 | 84.3 | 0.42 | 52.4 | 49.0 |
| Kylan Gerads | - | 29 | 17.4 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 7.9 | -21 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 49.1 | 25.0 | 74.7 | -0.11 | 56.3 | 50.9 |
| Paige Lambe | - | 29 | 20.8 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | -87 | -2.2 | -3.5 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 48.8 | -0.18 | 45.4 | 43.8 |
| Abigail O'Reilly | - | 16 | 15.1 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | -11 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 76.9 | -0.33 | 54.2 | 47.7 |
| Rachel Kottke | - | 29 | 20.6 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 39.1 | 34.9 | 73.1 | 0.05 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Reagan Briggs | - | 29 | 21.8 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 5.5 | -45 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 32.0 | 25.4 | 53.8 | 0.2 | 38.4 | 36.9 |
| Kristi Kottke | - | 29 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 5.2 | -53 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 47.6 | 32.6 | 76.9 | -0.23 | 56.0 | 54.3 |
| Alyssa Stamer | - | 28 | 19.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 2.6 | -19 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 29.4 | 26.7 | 84.6 | -0.12 | 41.4 | 36.1 |
| Ashley Sawicki | - | 10 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 45.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.47 | 46.9 | 45.0 |
| Halle Vande Hey | - | 27 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | -52 | -2.2 | -5.6 | 36.8 | 40.0 | 56.2 | -0.53 | 43.3 | 39.5 |
| Kora Forsline | - | 29 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -8 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 29.2 | 25.0 | 40.0 | -0.02 | 36.3 | 35.4 |
| Madi Herkenhoff | - | 12 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Grace Roesch | - | 18 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyla Hendricks | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brynn Olson | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -2.0 | -5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG