🐻⬇️🏀

St. Cloud St.

Also known as: St. Cloud St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1127 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#32) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.4 (#38) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.747 (#187) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.8 More → 0.629 (#156) NetEff +4.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.0 More → 0.927 (#100) AdjNet +22.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.3 More → 0.930 (#95) AdjNet +22.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.815 (#108) AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 65.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 vs Lubbock Christian W 69 - 56
2024-11-03 @ Missouri Western L 73 - 80
2024-11-09 vs Central Mo. W 79 - 73
2024-11-10 @ Pittsburg St. L 67 - 73
2024-11-14 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 104 - 115
2024-11-18 vs Upper Iowa W 66 - 65
2024-11-23 vs Northland W 93 - 43
2024-11-27 @ Michigan Tech L 70 - 88
2024-12-06 @ Minot St. L 58 - 91
2024-12-07 @ Minn.-Crookston W 91 - 86
2024-12-13 vs MSU Moorhead L 73 - 75
2024-12-14 vs Northern St. W 67 - 57
2024-12-17 vs Mary W 66 - 50
2024-12-19 @ Bemidji St. W 88 - 75
2025-01-03 vs Augustana (SD) L 69 - 71
2025-01-04 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 71 - 63
2025-01-08 @ Concordia-St. Paul W 93 - 89
2025-01-11 @ Minn. Duluth L 58 - 66
2025-01-17 @ Winona St. W 93 - 87
2025-01-18 @ Minnesota St. W 80 - 75
2025-01-24 vs Sioux Falls W 78 - 69
2025-01-25 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 60 - 63
2025-01-28 vs Bemidji St. W 78 - 71
2025-02-01 @ MSU Moorhead L 98 - 104
2025-02-05 @ Mary W 84 - 54
2025-02-08 vs Minot St. W 91 - 81
2025-02-14 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 65 - 53
2025-02-15 @ Augustana (SD) W 72 - 62
2025-02-21 vs Minnesota St. L 52 - 70
2025-02-22 vs Winona St. W 70 - 65
2025-02-26 vs Bemidji St. W 68 - 60
2025-03-02 @ Minnesota St. L 72 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Winkel - 31 29.0 13.3 2.7 3.9 1.4 0.2 1.6 10.3 9.6 132 4.4 13.3 40.3 38.1 80.4 1.21 53.9 46.5
Nate Dahl - 32 28.3 11.9 5.0 2.0 1.4 0.1 1.7 8.1 10.5 136 3.4 10.1 41.5 34.5 80.0 2.21 57.8 48.8
Lucas Morgan - 32 27.4 11.4 4.7 1.2 1.2 0.4 1.5 8.0 9.5 163 3.9 10.5 45.1 37.0 82.8 1.38 59.1 51.8
Wyatt Hawks - 32 28.0 10.3 7.5 1.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 7.2 11.9 206 4.8 13.4 58.6 0.0 69.0 1.37 61.3 58.6
Kynan Philippe - 32 24.5 8.5 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.0 7.6 5.2 89 2.1 6.4 39.3 33.1 60.5 0.81 52.1 50.8
Anish Ramlall - 32 21.2 7.2 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.6 6.8 3.3 31 1.1 2.7 34.2 29.9 80.0 0.02 47.7 42.9
Lee Marks III - 32 19.0 5.6 3.5 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.2 4.0 5.4 -20 -0.7 -3.6 51.9 23.1 50.6 0.05 54.1 53.1
Jamiir Allen - 16 8.4 5.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.9 -20 -1.4 -10.1 54.2 53.8 50.0 0.01 65.3 66.1
Nathan Bunkosky - 32 8.0 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 66 2.9 38.0 46.3 41.7 38.1 0.01 55.7 58.5
Hanif Muhammad - 30 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 -7 -2.3 -55.3 48.1 45.5 71.4 -1.14 59.8 57.4
Vance Peiffer - 30 3.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 - - - 73.7 0 60.0 - 72.6 73.7
Izaac Neal - 31 3.4 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 6 0.3 4.6 63.2 0 38.5 -0.18 58.7 63.2
Landon Riebel - 32 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 66.7 0.0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Amos Harvey - 31 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tre Blissett - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Will Brands - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG