St. Cloud St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1165 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1205 (#10) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.5 (#36) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +21.4 (#50) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.747 (#187) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.064 (#282) | NetEff -22.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.927 (#100) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.930 (#95) | AdjNet +22.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.815 (#108) | AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.823 (#12) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1266 (#19) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 90 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Minnesota St. | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Winona St. | W | 84 - 50 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Augustana (SD) | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 93 - 69 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Minnesota St. | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Martin Luther | W | 96 - 46 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Minot St. | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mary | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Jamestown | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Northern St. | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | MSU Moorhead | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 49 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 102 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Winkel | - | 23 | 32.7 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 14.5 | 12.1 | 170 | 7.7 | 31.6 | 42.6 | 35.2 | 77.7 | 0.39 | 55.8 | 49.4 |
| Bob Griechen | - | 12 | 23.2 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 81 | 7.4 | 171.9 | 47.1 | 33.3 | 67.7 | 0.14 | 54.7 | 52.1 |
| Wyatt Hawks | - | 24 | 30.1 | 11.5 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 186 | 8.1 | 38.6 | 49.2 | 31.0 | 81.4 | 0.41 | 59.1 | 51.6 |
| Nate Dahl | - | 19 | 24.7 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 122 | 6.8 | 91.5 | 38.1 | 18.4 | 61.5 | -1.16 | 46.2 | 41.4 |
| Anish Ramlall | - | 23 | 22.4 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 112 | 5.1 | 26.8 | 40.5 | 32.9 | 86.7 | 2.69 | 58.4 | 50.4 |
| Azayah Washington | - | 24 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 90 | 3.9 | 22.4 | 34.9 | 24.5 | 76.7 | -1.6 | 45.2 | 42.2 |
| Lee Marks III | - | 23 | 23.8 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 44 | 2.0 | 9.6 | 45.7 | 16.7 | 52.0 | -0.33 | 49.7 | 46.5 |
| Kynan Philippe | - | 23 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 146 | 6.3 | 33.1 | 35.8 | 24.8 | 69.7 | 0.51 | 46.7 | 43.8 |
| KJ Morris | - | 1 | 11.4 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Izaac Neal | - | 14 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 55 | 3.9 | 35.1 | 69.6 | 0 | 57.1 | 2.19 | 69.0 | 69.6 |
| Tre Blissett | - | 7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 46 | 6.6 | 192.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.85 | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Will Brands | - | 17 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 55 | 3.2 | 34.1 | 42.1 | 42.1 | 77.8 | 1.17 | 67.5 | 63.2 |
| Nathan Bunkosky | - | 20 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 67 | 3.5 | 34.1 | 31.6 | 21.4 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 42.8 | 39.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG