🐻⬇️🏀

St. Catherine

Also known as: St. Catherine
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 937 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 935 (#327) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +7.1 (#108) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.563 (#427) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More → 0.561 (#218) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.749 (#298) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.749 (#296) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.620 (#288) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 60.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Redlands L 45 - 60
2024-11-09 @ Chapman L 68 - 75
2024-11-16 vs UW-River Falls W 64 - 53
2024-11-20 vs Martin Luther W 63 - 58
2024-11-23 @ Wis.-Superior W 66 - 63
2024-11-25 @ Bethel (MN) L 44 - 58
2024-12-04 @ Saint Mary's (MN) L 63 - 73
2024-12-07 vs St. Olaf W 77 - 69
2024-12-29 @ Saint Vincent L 54 - 81
2024-12-30 @ Buena Vista W 93 - 64
2024-12-31 vs Minn.-Morris W 76 - 41
2025-01-02 @ Hilbert W 70 - 37
2025-01-04 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 41 - 52
2025-01-07 vs SUNY Oneonta W 68 - 55
2025-01-08 @ Concordia-M'head L 46 - 77
2025-01-10 @ Cortland L 53 - 67
2025-01-11 vs Saint Benedict W 70 - 65
2025-01-11 @ SUNY Morrisville W 84 - 62
2025-01-14 vs SUNY New Paltz L 79 - 89
2025-01-15 vs Macalester L 52 - 66
2025-01-17 @ Plattsburgh St. L 64 - 72
2025-01-18 @ Hamline L 45 - 74
2025-01-18 @ SUNY Potsdam W 74 - 67
2025-01-21 @ SUNY New Paltz L 37 - 74
2025-01-22 @ Carleton W 81 - 54
2025-01-24 vs Fredonia W 85 - 82
2025-01-25 vs Buffalo St. W 71 - 53
2025-01-25 vs Bethel (MN) L 38 - 64
2025-01-28 @ SUNY Oneonta L 46 - 55
2025-01-29 vs Concordia-M'head W 63 - 53
2025-02-01 @ St. Olaf W 70 - 54
2025-02-01 @ Oswego St. W 76 - 75
2025-02-05 @ Macalester L 57 - 64
2025-02-05 vs SUNY Poly W 70 - 40
2025-02-07 @ Buffalo St. W 84 - 42
2025-02-08 @ Fredonia L 51 - 59
2025-02-08 vs Carleton W 91 - 61
2025-02-12 vs St. Scholastica W 68 - 54
2025-02-14 vs SUNY Potsdam W 61 - 40
2025-02-15 vs Plattsburgh St. W 58 - 46
2025-02-15 @ Augsburg W 56 - 38
2025-02-19 vs Hamline L 36 - 53
2025-02-21 vs SUNY Morrisville W 78 - 63
2025-02-22 vs Cortland L 49 - 51
2025-02-22 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 51 - 74
2025-02-25 vs Plattsburgh St. W 61 - 58
2025-02-28 @ Cortland L 54 - 67

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Natalie Bartle - 22 31.1 15.2 7.8 4.0 4.0 0.4 3.4 15.9 12.0 -15 -0.6 -0.7 33.8 21.8 79.4 -0.11 42.8 37.0
Hattie Fox - 25 30.4 13.8 6.0 1.3 1.7 0.1 2.4 11.9 8.6 25 0.7 0.8 37.4 25.4 80.9 0.28 49.6 42.4
Sierra Pabo - 22 34.1 12.9 3.3 2.7 1.2 0.3 1.9 12.6 5.8 63 1.8 1.8 42.6 28.4 81.8 0.54 48.7 46.4
Kat Mcrobbie-taru - 2 33.5 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 13.0 2.5 56 1.6 1.8 46.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 44.6 46.2
Hope Aniceto - 22 25.3 11.0 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.1 9.4 4.4 22 0.6 0.8 37.2 37.7 76.5 0.07 54.3 51.9
Jordyn Peed - 25 23.6 8.8 2.7 1.1 1.8 0.2 1.6 8.4 4.7 39 1.1 1.3 44.3 33.3 54.8 -0.01 49.4 48.6
Greta Schimnowski - 25 25.8 7.6 3.9 0.6 1.0 0.2 1.2 8.6 3.4 -19 -0.8 -1.0 31.0 25.4 75.0 0.14 41.4 38.9
Maddie Young - 24 22.6 7.5 3.6 1.1 1.2 0.1 2.7 6.7 4.1 -31 -1.3 -1.7 43.5 14.3 77.1 -0.18 49.1 44.1
Emme Golembieswski - 25 31.0 6.9 7.7 2.0 1.1 2.0 2.2 7.4 10.2 -14 -0.6 -0.6 36.2 15.4 52.1 0.34 40.0 36.8
Lily Peper - 24 16.9 6.3 2.7 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.7 6.2 4.5 16 0.5 0.6 41.9 31.9 56.5 -0.22 48.1 47.0
Torie Moore - 21 21.6 5.5 5.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.4 5.1 6.7 -3 -0.1 -0.2 40.7 35.3 56.4 -0.06 46.3 43.5
Rachel Randleman - 23 21.9 5.1 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.8 6.0 2.9 -20 -0.9 -1.0 25.4 25.8 66.7 -0.01 38.0 33.7
Kaylee Miron - 12 9.4 4.3 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.8 2.9 2.9 - - - 42.9 36.4 58.1 0.56 53.5 48.6
Abigail Rice - 22 17.2 2.7 3.1 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.1 3.7 2.9 120 1.8 3.7 29.6 50.0 55.6 -0.37 33.2 30.2
Chelsie Tyler - 22 6.7 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.4 18 0.6 2.0 38.6 25.9 77.8 0.11 50.0 46.6
Emma Perez - 22 8.8 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.6 23 0.7 2.1 48.6 0.0 66.7 0.05 52.1 48.6
Kristen Oberle - 22 13.0 1.3 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.6 2.3 -48 -1.5 -2.6 28.6 25.0 83.3 -0.54 37.2 32.9
Natalie Bush - 17 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 6 0.3 1.0 46.2 45.5 75.0 -0.32 67.8 65.4
Sadey Sprabary - 21 5.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 19 0.6 4.3 66.7 0 50.0 0.06 66.0 66.7
Kate Flicek - 23 1.7 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 86 4.1 13.7 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.66 60.5 57.1
Marijke Kroon - 21 5.3 0.7 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 -1 -0.0 -0.2 50.0 0 40.0 -0.34 49.3 50.0
Kristen Lawton - 3 10.3 0.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 21.0 0.0
Emma Diehl - 20 5.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.2 -26 -1.0 -4.1 25.0 14.3 0 -0.39 27.5 27.5
Elle Covey - 23 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 28 1.2 2.9 37.5 0 66.7 0.13 40.4 37.5
Raya Cassidy - 22 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 -0.3 42 1.8 7.2 25.0 0.0 50.0 0.24 29.1 25.0
Julia Harmon - 24 2.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 27 1.1 5.5 20.0 0.0 66.7 0.19 35.8 20.0
Maddy Manger - 22 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 -3 -0.4 -1.3 100.0 0 100.0 -0.07 109.9 100.0
Olivia Gannon - 23 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.1 - - - 18.2 33.3 100.0 - 33.7 27.3
Bella Gilmore - 20 2.8 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 16 1.0 6.0 14.3 0 75.0 0.09 28.5 14.3
Kennady Allen - 21 3.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 14 0.7 3.8 40.0 0 0.0 0.11 34.0 40.0
Chloe Smith - 19 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 -7 -0.3 -0.3 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.36 34.0 20.0
Logan Allen - 19 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 -0.2 16 1.6 8.3 11.1 0.0 0 0.14 11.1 11.1
Rylin McAllister - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ellie Ekern - 23 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Taylor Soltis - 20 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lainey Draack - 19 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Liz Kyles - 23 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.1 6 0.4 1.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.47 0.0 0.0
Ada Skafte - 22 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lyndsey Strohmeier - 20 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Grace Plumley - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG