Southwest Mustang
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#444) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -37.2 (#694) | HCA +2.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.367 (#663) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.076 (#690) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.108 (#692) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 952 (#286) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-28 | @ | New Mexico State Aggies | L | 52 - 85 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Sasser
|
ATH | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 94.5 | 83.3 |
A. Scott
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 328 | 10.6 | 15.1 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.0 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
J. Mcafee Marion
|
ATH | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 35.7 |
R. Petterson
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.1 | 28.6 |
J. Evans
|
G | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 39.6 | 20.0 |
A. Richard
|
ATH | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -76 | -4.8 | -6.7 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
J. Koontz
|
ATH | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 31.1 | 33.3 |
C. Wilson
|
- | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
K. Boone
|
F | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
S. Masini
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 34.7 | 50.0 |
J. Vigil
|
ATH | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
N. Beckford
|
ATH | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG