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Southern

Also known as: Southern Jaguars
Program History

2009 Team Stats (6 games)

49.8
PPG
81.8
Opp
-32.0
Margin
29.8%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
63.9%
FT%
35.8
RPG
8.7
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
50.7
Adj PPG
61.2
Adj Opp PPG
#285
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 889 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 918 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 998 (#166) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -11.8 (#286) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -11.4 (#284) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.323 (#232) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.1 More โ†’ 0.123 (#282) AdjNet -17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.6 More โ†’ 0.115 (#283) AdjNet -17.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.7 | AdjD 61.2 More โ†’ 0.277 (#285) AdjO 50.7 | AdjD 61.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 58.5 More โ†’ 0.388 (#251) AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 58.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.274 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.295 (#256) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 28 More โ†’ 897 (#234) RD 119 | GP 28

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 vs Southern New Orleans Knights W 86 - 37
2008-11-18 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons L 53 - 66
2008-11-21 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 54 - 86
2008-11-22 vs Duke Blue Devils L 52 - 93
2008-12-06 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 62 - 58
2008-12-08 vs Tougaloo Bulldogs W 73 - 50
2008-12-12 @ Colorado Buffaloes - Preview
2008-12-16 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions L 43 - 49
2008-12-21 @ South Florida Bulls L 47 - 100
2009-01-03 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 71 - 42
2009-01-05 vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers W 63 - 58
2009-01-10 @ Grambling Lady Tigers L 53 - 54
2009-01-12 @ Jackson State Lady Tigers W 62 - 55
2009-01-17 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 52 - 46
2009-01-19 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes L 56 - 61
2009-01-24 @ Alabama State Lady Hornets W 57 - 52
2009-01-26 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 56 - 54
2009-01-31 @ Alcorn State Lady Braves W 65 - 59
2009-02-07 vs Grambling Lady Tigers L 35 - 36
2009-02-09 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 43 - 40
2009-02-14 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 54 - 43
2009-02-16 @ Mississippi Valley State Devilettes L 48 - 52
2009-02-21 vs Alabama State Lady Hornets L 47 - 51
2009-02-23 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 55 - 37
2009-02-28 vs Alcorn State Lady Braves W 67 - 56
2009-03-05 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 56 - 59
2009-03-07 @ Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers L 51 - 59
2009-03-11 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 57 - 49
2009-03-13 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 64 - 56
2009-03-14 @ Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers L 49 - 74
2009-03-18 @ New Mexico Lobos L 44 - 72

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Jackson D. Jackson G 4 0.0 9.5 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 2.8 14.2 -1.2 - - - - 26.3 25.0 57.1 - 31.6 29.8
A. Hicks A. Hicks G 1 0.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 1.0 - - - - 57.1 0.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
T. Brown T. Brown NA 5 0.0 7.8 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 8.4 0.8 - - - - 33.3 36.4 75.0 - 44.6 42.9
H. Kador H. Kador G 3 0.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.3 3.3 5.7 2.3 - - - - 11.8 12.5 90.9 - 34.3 14.7
F. Allen F. Allen F 4 0.0 4.8 7.2 1.0 0.5 0.8 2.2 3.0 9.0 - - - - 50.0 0 53.8 - 53.6 50.0
J. Floyd J. Floyd NA 3 0.0 3.7 6.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 7.0 3.3 - - - - 19.0 0 75.0 - 24.2 19.0
T. Foster T. Foster G 5 0.0 3.6 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.2 2.0 7.0 -0.2 - - - - 25.7 0.0 0.0 - 24.8 25.7
K. Griffin K. Griffin NA 3 0.0 2.7 4.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.7 3.0 3.7 - - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 40.5 33.3
S. Scott S. Scott NA 2 0.0 1.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 - - - - 12.5 0 50.0 - 16.9 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG