🐻⬇️🏀

Southern

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Southern Jaguars
Program History
Coach: Carlos Funchess

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

39.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
-42.0
Margin
25.4%
FG%
21.7%
3P%
57.1%
FT%
30.0
RPG
7.0
APG
18.0
TO
71.1
Est. poss./game
54.0
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1024 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning +36, transfers -67, freshmen +0 More → 1023 (#142) Preseason prior 1024 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning +36, transfers -67, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +225 elo More → 1004 (#150) HCA +225 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → -2.7 (#196) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → -2.7 (#197) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.160 (#272) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.3 More → 0.415 (#208) AdjNet -18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.4 More → 0.411 (#209) AdjNet -18.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.470 (#184) AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.464 (#199) AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 60.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.446 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#194) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More → 999 (#155) RD 219 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 39 - 81
2026-11-07 @ Illinois Fighting Illini - Preview
2026-11-10 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zaria Hurston Zaria Hurston G 1 29.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 -27 1 -27.0 -36.7 40.0 50.0 33.3 -0.96 44.2 45.0
Alisha Nunley Alisha Nunley G 1 28.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 -31 1 -31.0 -43.8 42.9 33.3 50.0 -1.92 50.8 50.0
Taniya Lawson Taniya Lawson G 1 26.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 -3.0 -29 1 -29.0 -45.5 20.0 20.0 100.0 -0.96 32.2 25.0
Deniya Thornton Deniya Thornton G 1 32.0 7.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 6.0 -31 1 -31.0 -38.8 33.3 16.7 0 -1.21 38.9 38.9
Aubri Wilkins Aubri Wilkins G 1 12.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -11 1 -11.0 -37.7 100.0 100.0 0 -2.38 125.0 125.0
Dalayja Hurt-Floyd Dalayja Hurt-Floyd G 1 31.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 -28 1 -28.0 -36.0 33.3 0.0 0 -0.96 33.3 33.3
Jestiny Dixon Jestiny Dixon G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Taelar Felton Taelar Felton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Uniyah Franklin Uniyah Franklin F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anaja Hall Anaja Hall C 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 -5.0 -29 1 -29.0 -54.4 0.0 0 0 -5.49 0.0 0.0
Diamond Hunter Diamond Hunter G 1 19.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 -4.0 -18 1 -18.0 -37.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Demya Porter Demya Porter F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J'yana Salton J'yana Salton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aaliyah Scott Aaliyah Scott G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3.0 -6 1 -6.0 -141.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.43 0.0 0.0
Jocelyn Tate Jocelyn Tate G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hurston100% Nunley50% Thornton50% Wilkins100% Lawson100% Nunley50% Thornton50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hall50% Hall42% Hall40% Hurston100% Lawson50% Scott33% Hunter40% Thornton50% Nunley33%
Misses: who misses most here

Zaria HurstonAlisha NunleyDeniya ThorntonAubri WilkinsTaniya LawsonAaliyah ScottAnaja HallDiamond Hunter

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 3-5 60.0 6 Zaria Hurston 100% (6 pts) - Anaja Hall 50% (1 misses) Diamond Hunter 50% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 2-14 14.3 4 Alisha Nunley 50% (2 pts) Dalayja Hurt-Floyd 50% (2 pts) Anaja Hall 42% (5 misses) Zaria Hurston 25% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 4-9 44.4 8 Deniya Thornton 50% (4 pts) Alisha Nunley 25% (2 pts) Anaja Hall 40% (2 misses) Alisha Nunley 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Zaria Hurston 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-7 14.3 2 Aubri Wilkins 100% (2 pts) - Taniya Lawson 50% (3 misses) Alisha Nunley 17% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Aaliyah Scott 33% (1 misses) Deniya Thornton 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 1-6 16.7 3 Taniya Lawson 100% (3 pts) - Diamond Hunter 40% (2 misses) Dalayja Hurt-Floyd 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-6 33.3 6 Alisha Nunley 50% (3 pts) Aubri Wilkins 50% (3 pts) Deniya Thornton 50% (2 misses) Taniya Lawson 50% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-8 25.0 6 Deniya Thornton 50% (3 pts) Zaria Hurston 50% (3 pts) Alisha Nunley 33% (2 misses) Taniya Lawson 33% (2 misses)