Southern
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#86) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1059 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1106 (#48) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.4 (#104) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.2 (#72) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.770 (#31) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.571 (#123) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.571 (#124) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.603 (#94) | AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 82.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.693 (#25) | AdjO 88.9 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.642 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.660 (#75) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1077 (#103) | RD 111 | GP 27 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-04 | @ | UAB | L | 88 - 100 |
| 1992-12-29 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 102 - 114 |
| 1992-12-30 | N | Georgia State | L | 79 - 83 |
| 1993-01-02 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 69 - 70 |
| 1993-01-04 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 97 - 88 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Grambling | W | 107 - 73 |
| 1993-01-11 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1993-01-16 | @ | Alabama State | L | 80 - 92 |
| 1993-01-18 | @ | Jackson State | L | 86 - 91 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | Texas Southern | W | 90 - 88 |
| 1993-01-25 | @ | Prairie View A&M | W | 99 - 75 |
| 1993-01-28 | vs | UCF | W | 127 - 91 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 94 - 83 |
| 1993-02-03 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 91 - 85 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Grambling | W | 91 - 84 |
| 1993-02-08 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 94 - 95 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | Alabama State | L | 82 - 86 |
| 1993-02-15 | vs | Jackson State | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1993-02-20 | vs | Texas Southern | L | 86 - 87 |
| 1993-02-22 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 155 - 91 |
| 1993-02-24 | @ | UCF | W | 127 - 100 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Alcorn State | W | 89 - 78 |
| 1993-03-11 | N | Grambling | W | 105 - 91 |
| 1993-03-12 | N | Alcorn State | W | 93 - 75 |
| 1993-03-13 | N | Jackson State | W | 101 - 80 |
| 1993-03-19 | N | Georgia Tech | W | 93 - 78 |
| 1993-03-21 | N | George Washington | L | 80 - 90 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.