Southern Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 928 (#298) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 892 (#303) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#294) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#550) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.088 (#341) | NetEff -17.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.089 (#601) | AdjNet -20.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.088 (#600) | AdjNet -19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.211 (#614) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 77.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Emory & Henry | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Limestone | L | 69 - 101 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Toccoa Falls | W | 95 - 64 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Wofford | L | 35 - 95 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Morris | W | 86 - 45 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Barton | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Flagler | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 44 - 82 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Georgia College | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Shorter | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Western Caro. | L | 53 - 112 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Furman | L | 51 - 107 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 60 - 105 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | North Greenville | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Erskine | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 47 - 73 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Young Harris | L | 73 - 91 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Barton | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2025-02-03 | @ | Bob Jones | W | 102 - 52 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Converse | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | King (TN) | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Young Harris | L | 69 - 99 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Assumption | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | American Int'l | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Erskine | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Chowan | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Adelphi | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Bentley | L | 54 - 87 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Shorter | L | 45 - 72 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Bentley | L | 50 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia Pearly | - | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Deyana Hayes | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | -27 | -0.9 | -1.7 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.53 | 36.6 | 31.2 |
| Stephanie Davis | - | 7 | 26.7 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 11.6 | 6.9 | -35 | -1.5 | -1.4 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.45 | 45.1 | 40.7 |
| Meghan Gordon | - | 7 | 30.6 | 12.3 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 46 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 48.6 | 8.3 | 81.0 | 0.42 | 54.3 | 49.3 |
| Taylin Smith | - | 27 | 23.9 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 10.7 | 4.0 | -68 | -2.8 | -2.9 | 35.2 | 32.2 | 80.2 | -0.36 | 48.4 | 41.6 |
| Asia Pearley | - | 28 | 20.2 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 6.7 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 40.3 | 33.8 | 59.0 | 0.28 | 47.6 | 44.8 |
| Ava Winterburn | - | 7 | 26.4 | 11.6 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 42.5 | 34.9 | 50.0 | 0.47 | 52.9 | 52.7 |
| Sydnie DeVries | - | 7 | 28.0 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 11.3 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 55.6 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 62.3 | 55.6 |
| Peyton Looky | - | 31 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 4.3 | -44 | -1.1 | -1.5 | 35.3 | 31.4 | 56.8 | -0.64 | 45.3 | 43.9 |
| Lexie Ransom | - | 26 | 15.2 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 23 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 34.3 | 28.1 | 79.6 | 0.02 | 49.8 | 43.0 |
| Abby Wager | - | 7 | 27.7 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 6.6 | 1.6 | -32 | -1.4 | -1.4 | 37.0 | 23.5 | 70.0 | -0.38 | 44.6 | 41.3 |
| Makayla Raines | - | 27 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 1.9 | -33 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 31.4 | 23.3 | 73.5 | -0.45 | 41.1 | 37.4 |
| Alexis Glover | - | 27 | 20.1 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 5.2 | -37 | -1.5 | -2.0 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 67.6 | -0.02 | 49.0 | 45.7 |
| Rahkhia Mack | - | 31 | 20.5 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 5.3 | -15 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 40.0 | 32.7 | 65.7 | 0.12 | 51.7 | 46.5 |
| Kaliah Kendrick | - | 31 | 21.8 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 4.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 30.6 | 21.0 | 68.1 | 0.13 | 41.5 | 34.7 |
| Dynasty Shegog | - | 31 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 22 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 35.1 | 10.5 | 63.0 | 0.52 | 42.0 | 35.8 |
| Samantha Pfeil | - | 7 | 16.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 34.4 | 15.8 | 87.5 | 0.33 | 45.0 | 39.1 |
| Taylor Brennan | - | 7 | 21.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 0.71 | 38.2 | 33.9 |
| Kyra Price | - | 27 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.9 | -33 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.61 | 40.9 | 37.1 |
| Madison Hughes | - | 7 | 12.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 24 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 31.8 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 0.7 | 37.2 | 36.4 |
| Matilde Baron | - | 7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Jordan Race | - | 14 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -0.1 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 18.5 | 8.3 | 0 | 0.02 | 20.4 | 20.4 |
| Kameron St. Pierre | - | 7 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -47 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 31.7 | 21.4 |
| Faith Yelton | - | 30 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 27.8 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -0.17 | 32.9 | 30.6 |
| Danielle Earley | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -1.3 | -3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trinity Nesbitt | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -33 | -4.1 | -21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Jezreel Reynolds | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Trudell | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mya Jiminez | - | 7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Lomasney | - | 7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG