Southern Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 758 (#512) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 779 (#507) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 892 (#625) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.3 (#346) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.3 (#458) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#550) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.064 (#408) | NetEff -20.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.089 (#601) | AdjNet -20.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.088 (#600) | AdjNet -19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.211 (#614) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.332 (#590) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#531) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.301 (#529) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#377) | RD 81 | GP 40 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Post | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Georgia College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Flagler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | North Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Bridgeport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Florida Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Chattanooga | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Wofford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Paine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raines, Mikayla | - | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 53.0 | 52.8 |
| Makayla Raines | - | 20 | 29.5 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.8 | 6.0 | -174 | -7.9 | -47.6 | 41.8 | 39.1 | 67.1 | 0.93 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Meghan Gordon | - | 14 | 27.2 | 14.4 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 12.3 | 10.9 | 44 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 50.0 | 23.5 | 84.6 | 0.18 | 55.1 | 52.3 |
| Savanna Nicholson | - | 20 | 27.9 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 2.4 | -220 | -12.2 | -55.4 | 35.0 | 31.9 | 69.2 | -4.96 | 50.2 | 47.8 |
| Price, Kyra | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.2 | 41.7 |
| Nicholson, Savannah | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 37.5 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bridgette McIntyre | - | 2 | 33.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 36.4 | 66.7 | 0.44 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Ava Winterburn | - | 14 | 25.7 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 7.4 | 70 | 3.2 | 14.0 | 37.9 | 38.3 | 75.0 | 1.94 | 50.3 | 48.6 |
| Peyton Looky | - | 20 | 27.8 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 6.0 | -190 | -8.3 | -46.1 | 36.1 | 32.8 | 69.3 | -1.03 | 50.3 | 43.2 |
| Lydia Traore | - | 2 | 22.4 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 0 | 41.7 | 1.74 | 55.0 | 58.3 |
| Eliza DiGiulio | - | 2 | 33.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 1.41 | 41.5 | 40.9 |
| Samantha Pfeil | - | 14 | 25.9 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 74 | 3.4 | 15.3 | 53.0 | 39.5 | 80.0 | 0.29 | 64.2 | 62.0 |
| Cole, Esther | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 35.0 | 36.4 |
| Keeley Wright | - | 2 | 29.8 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 | -40 | -2.1 | -96.4 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.62 | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| Kyra Price | - | 20 | 23.7 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 4.8 | -188 | -8.2 | -61.4 | 37.0 | 30.8 | 77.3 | -3.34 | 44.4 | 41.3 |
| Sage Winslow | - | 2 | 19.4 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 23.8 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 1.19 | 29.7 | 26.2 |
| Sydnie DeVries | - | 14 | 22.3 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 7.6 | 37 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 71.9 | -1.2 | 53.6 | 47.8 |
| Taylor Brennan | - | 14 | 28.1 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 99 | 4.7 | 22.5 | 37.0 | 28.1 | 58.3 | 3.34 | 42.7 | 41.5 |
| Ransom, Lexie | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Kameron St. Pierre | - | 14 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 31.0 | 28.3 | 86.7 | 1.11 | 43.0 | 38.7 |
| Gracie Arnold | - | 2 | 16.4 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.56 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Madison Hughes | - | 14 | 16.2 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 43 | 2.0 | 25.5 | 36.5 | 22.6 | 88.2 | 1.59 | 48.2 | 42.1 |
| Taylee Clements | - | 2 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lexie Ransom | - | 16 | 18.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 0.4 | -73 | -3.8 | -34.4 | 26.2 | 29.3 | 73.3 | -0.05 | 40.4 | 36.9 |
| Princess McCauley | - | 7 | 16.9 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | -50 | -8.3 | -38.3 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 41.2 | -0.21 | 37.4 | 35.3 |
| Esther Cole | - | 15 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 5.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 53.7 | 0.0 | 53.3 | 2.18 | 55.4 | 53.7 |
| Madelynn Deprey | - | 14 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 16 | 0.8 | 11.1 | 40.0 | 26.7 | 66.7 | 0.35 | 48.3 | 44.0 |
| Earley, Danielle | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Looky, Peyton | - | 1 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Yellow, Faith | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Danielle Earley | - | 18 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | -56 | -3.1 | -32.5 | 43.9 | 18.2 | 57.7 | 0.53 | 48.9 | 45.6 |
| DeYana Hayes | - | 18 | 20.4 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 4.1 | -122 | -7.2 | -48.2 | 38.2 | 0.0 | 41.4 | -0.58 | 39.6 | 38.2 |
| Aniela Kwo | - | 14 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 43 | 2.7 | 304.4 | 41.0 | 0 | 57.1 | 2.26 | 46.8 | 41.0 |
| Emily Gamon | - | 20 | 17.3 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 | -159 | -8.0 | -70.9 | 27.6 | 20.8 | 51.9 | -2.94 | 34.7 | 30.9 |
| Trinity Nesbitt | - | 17 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | -51 | -3.2 | -84.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 58.3 | -0.16 | 58.2 | 53.6 |
| Payseur, Maris | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jenika Zurita | - | 2 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Izzy Terzioski | - | 14 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 17 | 0.9 | 17.7 | 35.7 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 45.7 | 44.6 |
| Gamon, Emily | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Makris, Lainie | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Millie Day | - | 2 | 12.4 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Faith Yelton | - | 14 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -36 | -2.1 | -70.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.67 | 32.7 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Race | - | 6 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -14 | -2.8 | -32.1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Maris Kate Payseur | - | 6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 6 | 1.0 | 33.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.49 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Logan Lomasney | - | 6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 85.2 | 0 |
| Mya Jiminez | - | 8 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 5 | 0.7 | 300.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.71 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Elaina Makris | - | 7 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 1.7 | 131.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nesbitt, Trinity | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyla Albee | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kai'Lani Aoki | - | 2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shakia Teague-Perry | - | 2 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG