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Southern Va.

Also known as: Southern Va.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1109 (#63) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1173 (#43) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +9.4 (#87) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.974 (#170) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +30.6 More → 0.989 (#17) NetEff +30.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.841 (#247) AdjNet +14.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.846 (#246) AdjNet +14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 57.1 More → 0.677 (#254) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 57.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Lynchburg W 76 - 44
2024-11-11 @ Wash. & Lee L 61 - 69
2024-11-16 vs Randolph W 55 - 48
2024-11-19 @ Guilford L 65 - 82
2024-11-22 vs Methodist W 72 - 59
2024-11-23 vs Meredith W 68 - 36
2024-11-26 vs Stevenson W 71 - 51
2024-12-04 vs Chris. Newport W 69 - 65
2024-12-07 @ Mary Washington W 63 - 51
2024-12-13 @ N.C. Wesleyan W 60 - 47
2024-12-14 @ Piedmont W 54 - 49
2025-01-04 vs Greensboro W 81 - 35
2025-01-07 @ Pfeiffer W 72 - 38
2025-01-11 vs William Peace W 101 - 47
2025-01-15 vs Salem (NC) W 88 - 52
2025-01-18 @ Brevard W 71 - 62
2025-01-25 vs N.C. Wesleyan W 73 - 38
2025-01-28 @ William Peace W 92 - 35
2025-02-01 vs Brevard W 70 - 58
2025-02-04 @ Salem (NC) W 81 - 48
2025-02-08 @ Meredith W 71 - 29
2025-02-13 @ Bridgewater (VA) W 59 - 52
2025-02-15 @ Methodist W 56 - 45
2025-02-18 @ Greensboro W 82 - 30
2025-02-22 vs Pfeiffer W 73 - 43
2025-02-25 vs William Peace W 83 - 43
2025-02-27 vs Methodist W 69 - 50
2025-03-01 vs Brevard W 57 - 45
2025-03-07 vs Bates L 53 - 55

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Abigail Snyder - 29 26.9 12.9 7.3 3.1 1.8 0.1 2.4 10.7 12.1 197 4.8 6.0 40.6 36.5 89.0 0.7 54.7 49.8
Addison Newman - 29 26.7 9.4 3.9 2.7 2.2 0.3 2.1 8.1 8.3 47 1.6 2.1 41.5 32.0 81.5 -0.23 52.5 48.5
Ruth Kempler - 29 20.0 8.9 6.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 7.2 8.2 83 2.7 4.4 50.0 66.7 72.7 0.38 54.4 50.5
Alyssa Weiland - 26 19.8 8.5 5.0 2.1 1.7 0.2 2.1 7.2 8.0 30 1.2 1.8 47.1 22.2 69.4 0.01 52.7 49.7
Aysia Foster - 29 21.1 8.1 5.2 0.6 0.8 1.9 1.4 6.3 8.9 83 2.0 3.4 55.2 0.0 67.3 0.57 57.4 55.2
Maria Savvun - 29 23.0 5.7 1.6 3.0 1.3 0.0 2.0 6.9 2.7 130 3.2 4.6 27.0 21.5 66.7 -0.2 37.8 34.2
Saydee Allred - 26 8.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.7 4.8 1.1 18 0.7 1.8 30.6 24.3 80.0 -0.18 40.2 37.5
Hailey Paige - 28 10.8 3.8 3.7 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 2.9 4.9 30 1.1 2.3 50.0 0 72.2 0.06 55.3 50.0
Camilla Norton - 29 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.3 0.5 26 0.9 3.0 28.6 27.2 66.7 0.18 41.6 40.9
Taylor Hoopes - 29 8.5 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.8 3.2 1.3 38 1.4 3.8 30.1 25.0 70.0 0.27 37.5 35.5
Asia Canty - 29 10.5 1.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.2 22 0.8 1.6 27.6 20.8 100.0 -0.03 35.1 34.2
Makayla Patterson - 29 5.3 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.6 2 0.1 0.4 60.0 0 53.3 -0.12 60.1 60.0
Maya Foster - 27 4.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 57 2.1 7.1 25.0 9.1 40.0 -0.56 29.3 26.8
Madisen Staples - 28 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 4 0.3 2.4 33.3 25.0 50.0 0.04 40.0 37.5
Emma Openshaw - 28 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.3 -24 -1.4 -12.0 10.0 13.3 0.0 -0.57 14.4 15.0
Jocelyn Stewart - 22 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29 1.5 8.6 100.0 0 0 0.07 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG