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Southern Utah

Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

124.7
PPG
57.0
Opp
+67.7
Margin
60.7%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
75.8%
FT%
55.0
RPG
30.7
APG
6.0
TO
78.3
Est. poss./game

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 844 (returning production + recruiting): last season 882, returning +28, transfers -26, freshmen -41 More โ†’ 844 (#245) Preseason prior 844 (returning production + recruiting): last season 882, returning +28, transfers -26, freshmen -41
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +232 elo More โ†’ 901 (#279) HCA +232 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +232 elo More โ†’ 951 (#260) HCA +232 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.3 More โ†’ -6.3 (#245) HCA +1.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.3 More โ†’ -6.0 (#245) HCA +1.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.339 (#214) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ†’ 0.404 (#227) -
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ†’ 0.402 (#228) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ†’ 0.370 (#278) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ†’ 0.417 (#250) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.352 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.361 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ†’ 895 (#258) -
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More โ†’ 0.265 (#278) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs West Coast Baptist Eagles W 134 - 69
2026-11-05 vs Grace University Lancers W 97 - 53
2026-11-07 vs Bethesda Flames W 143 - 49
2026-11-12 @ High Point Panthers - Preview
2026-11-14 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Breland Anthony Breland G 3 13.7 15.7 3.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 9.7 13.3 31 1 31.0 86.4 58.6 50.0 62.5 0.61 72.3 72.4
JaJuan Nicholls JaJuan Nicholls F 3 13.3 14.0 5.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 7.0 13.0 33 1 33.0 110.2 85.7 0 66.7 0.39 84.1 85.7
Dezhon Hall Dezhon Hall G 3 13.7 12.7 3.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 6.0 11.0 13 1 13.0 39.9 66.7 50.0 86.7 0.01 77.2 69.4
DJ Smith DJ Smith F 3 14.3 9.7 7.0 2.0 0.3 1.3 0.3 6.7 13.3 11 1 11.0 26.1 65.0 33.3 100.0 -0.08 69.4 67.5
Jaiden Feroah Jaiden Feroah F 3 14.7 9.0 4.7 1.3 0.3 1.3 0.3 4.7 11.7 35 1 35.0 101.1 78.6 57.1 50.0 0.81 90.7 92.9
Cale Barclay Cale Barclay F 3 12.0 8.7 3.7 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.0 14.3 30 1 30.0 114.6 91.7 0.0 80.0 -0.26 91.5 91.7
Dylan Sanders Dylan Sanders G 3 12.7 8.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 6.3 5.3 23 1 23.0 96.5 52.6 36.4 100.0 0.35 65.4 63.2
Jordan Brown Jordan Brown G 3 13.3 8.3 4.0 3.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 7.0 9.3 21 1 21.0 76.2 42.9 30.8 100.0 0.23 56.0 52.4
Jalik Nicholls Jalik Nicholls F 3 11.0 8.3 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 5.3 7.7 10 1 10.0 30.8 62.5 50.0 50.0 -0.01 74.1 75.0
Mikhail Protsenko Mikhail Protsenko C 3 10.7 8.0 2.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 3.7 8.0 13 1 13.0 65.7 100.0 0 50.0 0.02 94.0 100.0
Chase Degraffenried Chase Degraffenried G 3 13.7 6.7 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 10.0 39 1 39.0 102.2 42.9 44.4 100.0 0.98 63.5 57.1
Juok Riak Juok Riak F 3 14.0 6.3 5.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 6.3 7.3 23 1 23.0 75.8 42.1 33.3 66.7 0.39 46.8 44.7
Rashaad Davis Rashaad Davis G 3 16.0 6.0 2.0 4.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 4.7 8.3 22 1 22.0 48.7 50.0 20.0 60.0 0.0 55.6 53.6
Brayden Johnson Brayden Johnson G 3 13.7 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 12 1 12.0 27.6 16.7 25.0 100.0 -0.07 36.3 25.0
Zeplin Kidd Zeplin Kidd G 3 13.3 1.0 3.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.7 1.7 4.3 9 1 9.0 23.8 20.0 33.3 0 -0.38 30.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Southern Utah players in G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Southern Utah game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
John Knight III 2019-22 G League Rio Grande Valley Vipers 0 - - - - 11-10 4 pts, 4 reb, 3 ast Play-In 2 GP, 4.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-10 John Knight III G League Play-In Rio Grande Valley Vipers @ Oklahoma City Blue 14 4 4 3 Box
2026-11-06 John Knight III G League Play-In Rio Grande Valley Vipers vs Austin Spurs 18 4 3 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

239 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Protsenko24% Nicholls18% Breland50% Breland33% Breland25% Breland36% Sanders67% Breland15%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Riak40% Riak15% Breland33% Riak100% Johnson50% Breland50% Feroah38% Degraffenried22% Brown43% Brown31%
Misses: who misses most here

Anthony BrelandJaJuan NichollsJaiden FeroahDylan SandersJordan BrownMikhail ProtsenkoJuok RiakChase DegraffenriedBrayden Johnson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 29-39 74.4 58 Mikhail Protsenko 24% (14 pts) Anthony Breland 14% (8 pts) Juok Riak 40% (4 misses) Dezhon Hall 20% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 80-107 74.8 160 JaJuan Nicholls 18% (28 pts) Cale Barclay 11% (18 pts) Juok Riak 15% (4 misses) Anthony Breland 11% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Anthony Breland 33% (1 misses) DJ Smith 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Juok Riak 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-4 50.0 4 Anthony Breland 50% (2 pts) Jordan Brown 50% (2 pts) Brayden Johnson 50% (1 misses) DJ Smith 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Anthony Breland 33% (3 pts) Chase Degraffenried 33% (3 pts) Anthony Breland 50% (1 misses) Brayden Johnson 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-12 33.3 12 Anthony Breland 25% (3 pts) Brayden Johnson 25% (3 pts) Jaiden Feroah 38% (3 misses) Anthony Breland 12% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 11-29 37.9 33 Anthony Breland 36% (12 pts) Jalik Nicholls 18% (6 pts) Chase Degraffenried 22% (4 misses) Anthony Breland 17% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-10 30.0 9 Dylan Sanders 67% (6 pts) Zeplin Kidd 33% (3 pts) Jordan Brown 43% (3 misses) Dylan Sanders 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 13-29 44.8 39 Anthony Breland 15% (6 pts) Chase Degraffenried 15% (6 pts) Jordan Brown 31% (5 misses) Jalik Nicholls 19% (3 misses)