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Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1208 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1166 (#284) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +18.4 (#317) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.182 (#109) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More → 0.156 (#103) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.7 More → 0.153 (#103) AdjNet -14.7

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 vs Montana-Western Bulldogs W 88 - 70
2004-11-22 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 67 - 74
2004-11-27 vs Idaho State Bengals W 71 - 70
2004-11-30 @ Utah Utes L 45 - 65
2004-12-02 @ Montana Grizzlies L 57 - 69
2004-12-08 @ Weber State Wildcats W 62 - 56
2004-12-11 @ Idaho State Bengals W 82 - 79
2004-12-18 vs Idaho Vandals W 82 - 53
2004-12-20 vs Drake Bulldogs W 94 - 74
2004-12-28 @ BYU Cougars L 52 - 77
2004-12-30 vs Adams State Grizzlies W 75 - 49
2005-01-04 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 67 - 73
2005-01-06 @ Kansas City Roos L 78 - 88
2005-01-13 vs Chicago State Cougars W 78 - 71
2005-01-15 vs IUPUI Jaguars L 56 - 85
2005-01-20 @ Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 63 - 54
2005-01-22 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 60 - 81
2005-01-27 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 77 - 93
2005-01-29 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 98 - 91
2005-01-31 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 66 - 72
2005-02-03 @ Chicago State Cougars L 68 - 81
2005-02-05 @ IUPUI Jaguars L 66 - 85
2005-02-10 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 67 - 65
2005-02-12 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 70 - 63
2005-02-17 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 76 - 82
2005-02-19 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks L 50 - 70
2005-02-26 vs Kansas City Roos W 80 - 75
2005-03-05 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 59 - 82

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.