🐻⬇️🏀

Southern

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Southern Jaguars
Program History
Coach: Carlos Funchess

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

38.0
PPG
88.7
Opp
-50.7
Margin
24.7%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
25.3
RPG
6.3
APG
22.0
TO
70.3
Est. poss./game
48.4
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#303
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1024 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning +36, transfers -67, freshmen +0 More → 1019 (#150) Preseason prior 1024 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning +36, transfers -67, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +187 elo More → 991 (#164) HCA +187 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +187 elo More → 984 (#184) HCA +187 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -14.0 (#294) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -14.0 (#296) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.019 (#349) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.5 More → 0.134 (#346) AdjNet -38.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -39.6 More → 0.117 (#349) AdjNet -39.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 48.4 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.276 (#303) AdjO 48.4 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 48.4 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.273 (#323) AdjO 48.4 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.230 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.229 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 190 | GP 3 More → 955 (#193) RD 190 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.294 (#238) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 39 - 81
2026-11-07 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 28 - 99
2026-11-10 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 47 - 86
2026-11-13 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats - Preview
2026-11-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jestiny Dixon Jestiny Dixon G 1 23.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - - 37.5 0.0 100.0 - 51.2 37.5
Zaria Hurston Zaria Hurston G 3 24.3 8.3 2.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 3.3 6.3 2.7 -70 2 -35.0 -50.2 42.1 50.0 54.5 -1.48 52.4 50.0
Taelar Felton Taelar Felton G 2 19.5 6.5 1.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.5 3.0 -25 1 -25.0 -63.5 27.3 0.0 63.6 -1.59 41.0 27.3
Deniya Thornton Deniya Thornton G 3 26.3 5.0 4.0 0.7 2.0 0.0 3.3 7.7 0.7 -67 2 -33.5 -47.4 26.1 18.8 0 -1.31 32.6 32.6
Taniya Lawson Taniya Lawson G 3 22.3 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 7.0 -3.0 -62 2 -31.0 -54.4 14.3 20.0 66.7 -1.64 25.4 19.0
Alisha Nunley Alisha Nunley G 3 21.7 3.7 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -1.3 -69 2 -34.5 -56.3 22.2 25.0 50.0 -2.85 29.1 27.8
Anaja Hall Anaja Hall C 3 22.0 3.3 3.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.3 7.0 -2.0 -95 2 -47.5 -75.1 23.8 0 0 -9.23 23.8 23.8
Aubri Wilkins Aubri Wilkins G 2 8.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 -19 2 -9.5 -49.9 100.0 100.0 0 -2.53 125.0 125.0
Diamond Hunter Diamond Hunter G 3 15.3 2.3 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 5.3 0.0 -57 2 -28.5 -57.5 12.5 11.1 100.0 -0.75 20.7 15.6
Demya Porter Demya Porter F 1 19.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -3.0 - - - - 16.7 0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Jocelyn Tate Jocelyn Tate G 1 16.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Dalayja Hurt-Floyd Dalayja Hurt-Floyd G 3 26.3 0.7 2.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.0 0.3 -74 2 -37.0 -49.0 16.7 0.0 0 -2.18 16.7 16.7
Uniyah Franklin Uniyah Franklin F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J'yana Salton J'yana Salton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aaliyah Scott Aaliyah Scott G 2 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -27 2 -13.5 -94.6 0.0 0.0 0 -3.51 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

158 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hurston40% Hall33% Thornton33% Thornton100% Hall50% Lawson50% Thornton40% Nunley33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nunley14% Hall26% Hall36% Porter50% Nunley25% Hunter29% Hurt-Floyd33% Thornton23% Thornton44% Nunley27%
Misses: who misses most here

Zaria HurstonDeniya ThorntonAlisha NunleyAnaja HallTaniya LawsonDiamond HunterDalayja Hurt-FloydDemya Porter

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 10-17 58.8 20 Zaria Hurston 40% (8 pts) Taelar Felton 30% (6 pts) Alisha Nunley 14% (1 misses) Anaja Hall 14% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-40 15.0 12 Anaja Hall 33% (4 pts) Alisha Nunley 17% (2 pts) Anaja Hall 26% (9 misses) Taniya Lawson 15% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 6-17 35.3 12 Deniya Thornton 33% (4 pts) Alisha Nunley 17% (2 pts) Anaja Hall 36% (4 misses) Deniya Thornton 27% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 1-5 20.0 2 Deniya Thornton 100% (2 pts) - Demya Porter 50% (2 misses) Taelar Felton 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-20 20.0 8 Anaja Hall 50% (4 pts) Aubri Wilkins 25% (2 pts) Alisha Nunley 25% (4 misses) Taniya Lawson 25% (4 misses)
Left corner 3 0-7 0.0 0 - - Diamond Hunter 29% (2 misses) Aaliyah Scott 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Dalayja Hurt-Floyd 33% (1 misses) Taniya Lawson 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-17 23.5 12 Taniya Lawson 50% (6 pts) Zaria Hurston 50% (6 pts) Deniya Thornton 23% (3 misses) Diamond Hunter 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-14 35.7 15 Deniya Thornton 40% (6 pts) Alisha Nunley 20% (3 pts) Deniya Thornton 44% (4 misses) Taniya Lawson 33% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-18 16.7 9 Alisha Nunley 33% (3 pts) Deniya Thornton 33% (3 pts) Alisha Nunley 27% (4 misses) Deniya Thornton 27% (4 misses)