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Southern Nazarene

Also known as: Southern Nazarene
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1002 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1013 (#165) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +19.9 (#20) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.811 (#237) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.4 More → 0.906 (#61) NetEff +17.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.9 More → 0.978 (#106) AdjNet +32.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.4 More → 0.981 (#104) AdjNet +33.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 50.8 More → 0.871 (#109) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 50.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 @ Central Mo. W 68 - 65
2024-11-03 @ Pittsburg St. L 57 - 75
2024-11-08 vs Texas-Dallas W 85 - 47
2024-11-15 vs Texas Woman's L 44 - 55
2024-11-19 @ Central Okla. W 64 - 57
2024-11-23 @ Mo. Southern St. L 60 - 68
2024-11-26 vs Angelo St. W 67 - 54
2024-12-03 vs Ark.-Monticello W 88 - 51
2024-12-05 vs Southern Ark. W 61 - 50
2024-12-12 @ Northwestern Okla. L 50 - 55
2024-12-14 vs Southwestern Okla. W 74 - 49
2024-12-19 @ Southeastern Okla. W 66 - 56
2025-01-04 @ East Central W 56 - 49
2025-01-09 @ Harding L 63 - 67
2025-01-11 @ Arkansas Tech W 68 - 55
2025-01-16 vs Henderson St. W 63 - 41
2025-01-18 vs Ouachita Baptist W 64 - 45
2025-01-23 vs Okla. Baptist W 63 - 56
2025-01-25 vs Southeastern Okla. W 59 - 48
2025-01-30 @ Ark.-Monticello W 60 - 39
2025-02-01 @ Southern Ark. W 92 - 87
2025-02-06 vs Arkansas Tech W 70 - 46
2025-02-08 vs Harding W 68 - 62
2025-02-13 @ Okla. Baptist W 58 - 54
2025-02-15 vs East Central L 38 - 44
2025-02-21 @ Ouachita Baptist W 73 - 58
2025-02-23 @ Henderson St. W 76 - 65
2025-02-27 vs Northwestern Okla. W 45 - 40
2025-03-01 @ Southwestern Okla. W 63 - 54
2025-03-06 vs East Central W 61 - 45
2025-03-08 vs Southeastern Okla. L 70 - 71
2025-03-14 @ Fort Hays St. L 72 - 81

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hannah Giddey - 32 35.4 16.1 10.3 3.8 1.4 2.7 2.5 14.0 17.8 28 0.9 0.8 51.4 0.0 58.1 0.18 52.7 51.4
Katie King - 32 28.1 8.6 3.5 2.3 2.0 0.3 1.8 8.2 6.7 27 0.8 1.1 35.6 31.1 77.4 0.28 46.0 40.0
Umi Otsuka - 31 19.5 8.4 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 1.1 7.8 3.9 10 0.4 0.4 40.5 30.7 83.7 0.02 49.6 46.1
Jena Bay - 31 19.9 7.0 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.9 5.2 4.8 9 0.2 0.4 46.0 37.5 84.3 -0.22 59.4 54.3
Braci Nyberg - 32 18.8 6.5 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.3 67 1.6 2.4 45.3 35.5 74.0 0.88 57.5 53.8
Jordan Hoffman - 27 17.5 5.4 1.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.5 4.7 2.5 -26 -0.8 -1.2 38.1 26.0 61.3 -0.51 48.0 43.3
Carley Gasaway - 31 10.9 4.3 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 3.7 2.3 3 0.1 0.2 37.1 34.9 94.4 -0.04 53.7 50.0
Jillian Crawford - 32 18.3 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.0 4.3 2.5 -14 -0.5 -0.3 34.3 27.6 78.1 0.13 44.7 40.1
Hannah Duncan - 32 24.6 4.1 4.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.9 4.2 5.5 75 1.8 2.4 33.3 31.2 60.7 0.63 44.8 42.6
Shannon Burton - 31 4.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 31 0.9 2.5 48.5 33.3 37.5 0.42 50.7 51.5
Asnate Gerke - 31 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Abby Boyce - 31 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 0.33 25.8 33.3
Mia Singstock - 31 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Megan Eischen - 30 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nessa Begay - 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13 1.6 4.7 0 0 0 0.17 0 0
Kimalee Cook - 31 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Anna Coccoli - 31 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 -3 -0.4 -2.3 0.0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0
Ella Nietz - 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grace Pippett - 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG