Southern Nazarene
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1002 (#160) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1013 (#165) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.9 (#20) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.811 (#237) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.906 (#61) | NetEff +17.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.978 (#106) | AdjNet +32.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#104) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.871 (#109) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 50.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Giddey | - | 32 | 35.4 | 16.1 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 17.8 | 28 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 58.1 | 0.18 | 52.7 | 51.4 |
| Katie King | - | 32 | 28.1 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 27 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 35.6 | 31.1 | 77.4 | 0.28 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Umi Otsuka | - | 31 | 19.5 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 40.5 | 30.7 | 83.7 | 0.02 | 49.6 | 46.1 |
| Jena Bay | - | 31 | 19.9 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 46.0 | 37.5 | 84.3 | -0.22 | 59.4 | 54.3 |
| Braci Nyberg | - | 32 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 67 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 45.3 | 35.5 | 74.0 | 0.88 | 57.5 | 53.8 |
| Jordan Hoffman | - | 27 | 17.5 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 2.5 | -26 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 38.1 | 26.0 | 61.3 | -0.51 | 48.0 | 43.3 |
| Carley Gasaway | - | 31 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 37.1 | 34.9 | 94.4 | -0.04 | 53.7 | 50.0 |
| Jillian Crawford | - | 32 | 18.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 34.3 | 27.6 | 78.1 | 0.13 | 44.7 | 40.1 |
| Hannah Duncan | - | 32 | 24.6 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 75 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 33.3 | 31.2 | 60.7 | 0.63 | 44.8 | 42.6 |
| Shannon Burton | - | 31 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 31 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 48.5 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 0.42 | 50.7 | 51.5 |
| Asnate Gerke | - | 31 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Abby Boyce | - | 31 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.33 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Mia Singstock | - | 31 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Megan Eischen | - | 30 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nessa Begay | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Kimalee Cook | - | 31 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anna Coccoli | - | 31 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ella Nietz | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Pippett | - | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG