Southern Nazarene
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1039 (#121) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1089 (#89) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.0 (#22) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#197) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.777 (#89) | NetEff +11.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#130) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.895 (#144) | AdjNet +18.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.773 (#148) | AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 66.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Strong | - | 27 | 29.6 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 12.9 | 12.7 | 135 | 7.5 | 17.6 | 42.7 | 37.3 | 77.6 | 2.08 | 57.1 | 52.6 |
| Baron Bracey | - | 29 | 33.1 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11.2 | 191 | 8.0 | 21.7 | 47.8 | 34.4 | 78.4 | 1.15 | 58.2 | 53.4 |
| Tracy Godfrey Jr. | - | 28 | 22.4 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 8.8 | 209 | 6.5 | 28.8 | 65.4 | 0.0 | 74.1 | 1.57 | 69.0 | 65.4 |
| Jeremy Golson | - | 29 | 29.6 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 151 | 6.3 | 24.5 | 39.4 | 37.7 | 86.4 | 1.14 | 57.6 | 53.9 |
| Bam Johnson | - | 27 | 24.4 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 35 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 42.3 | 28.3 | 51.9 | 0.54 | 49.0 | 47.5 |
| James Burries | - | 29 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 137 | 4.4 | 25.3 | 42.5 | 34.7 | 76.7 | 1.19 | 56.9 | 52.4 |
| Colby Henderson | - | 29 | 21.1 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 18 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 43.7 | 30.8 | 68.4 | 0.07 | 52.3 | 49.3 |
| Timur Krupalija | - | 29 | 15.7 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 14 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 63.8 | 0.0 | 46.9 | -0.01 | 62.0 | 63.8 |
| Tavares Oliver | - | 25 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 20 | 6.7 | 133.0 | 29.2 | 21.1 | 100.0 | -1.04 | 41.5 | 37.5 |
| Xavier Ridenour | - | 28 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -3 | -0.2 | -8.0 | 27.8 | 12.5 | 60.0 | -0.7 | 34.7 | 30.6 |
| Kaedon Bonner | - | 28 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -9 | -4.5 | -164.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.5 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Shota Abashidze | - | 28 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -8 | -2.7 | -146.6 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.5 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Luca Cawthorn-Breheny | - | 17 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Joe Mpoyo | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Slade Pike | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG