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Southern N.H.

Also known as: Southern N.H.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1071 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 965 (#533) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.0 (#140) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -0.2 (#371) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.509 (#359) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.5 More → 0.677 (#224) NetEff +5.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.467 (#420) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.479 (#420) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.491 (#416) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.498 (#367) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.497 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.495 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 6 More → 987 (#263) RD 144 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 @ Franklin Pierce W 70 - 57
2026-01-24 vs Pace W 65 - 60
2026-01-28 vs Assumption W 56 - 51
2026-01-31 @ American Int'l L 85 - 92
2026-02-04 @ Saint Michael's L 57 - 66
2026-02-07 vs Southern Conn. St. L 47 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Meghan Gordon - 6 31.4 15.8 8.2 1.5 1.2 1.2 2.2 12.0 13.7 44 2.0 10.1 54.2 40.0 92.9 1.83 60.8 56.9
Ava Winterburn - 6 30.2 13.3 5.2 1.5 0.8 0.7 2.3 13.0 6.2 70 3.2 14.0 39.7 28.9 55.6 0.9 48.8 48.1
Taylor Brennan - 6 30.8 7.2 3.5 4.7 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.7 6.2 99 4.7 22.5 37.5 30.0 83.3 2.05 47.5 41.2
Sydnie DeVries - 6 25.8 6.8 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.5 2.3 4.5 8.0 37 1.7 8.3 63.0 0 70.0 0.1 65.3 63.0
Samantha Pfeil - 6 25.9 6.5 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.5 1.8 6.2 4.2 74 3.4 15.3 43.2 7.7 75.0 0.45 48.1 44.6
Madison Hughes - 6 16.4 5.0 3.7 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.8 4.3 43 2.0 25.5 37.9 22.2 66.7 0.34 45.5 41.4
Kameron St. Pierre - 6 15.0 4.2 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 1.3 3.7 3.2 - - - 31.8 18.2 90.0 - 47.3 36.4
Madelynn Deprey - 6 9.8 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.7 3.2 16 0.8 11.1 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.41 59.7 55.0
Aniela Kwo - 3 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.0 43 2.7 304.4 33.3 0 66.7 -1.16 41.0 33.3
Izzy Terzioski - 5 15.7 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.4 17 0.9 17.7 23.1 16.7 50.0 2.87 28.8 26.9
Logan Lomasney - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG