Southern Me.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1279 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1333 (#17) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1245 (#12) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.9 (#67) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.1 (#146) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.745 (#334) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#96) | NetEff +30.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.651 (#323) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.645 (#323) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.570 (#319) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.858 (#31) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.887 (#71) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.892 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1354 (#16) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | U New England | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Bates | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Me.-Farmington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Albertus Magnus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Maine Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | VTSU Castleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Thomas (ME) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Plymouth St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | WestConn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Keene St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wiles | - | 19 | 30.4 | 18.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 14.2 | 9.2 | 129 | 8.1 | 92.8 | 47.8 | 50.6 | 73.8 | 1.36 | 58.4 | 55.9 |
| Jaycie Christopher | - | 19 | 33.1 | 17.9 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 11.2 | 18.9 | 176 | 11.0 | 187.4 | 55.4 | 45.1 | 88.2 | 4.52 | 69.0 | 64.1 |
| Madelyn Gaughen | - | 1 | 40.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 49.7 | 41.7 |
| Dakota Shipley | - | 19 | 27.0 | 12.1 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 164 | 10.9 | 163.0 | 44.2 | 29.9 | 66.0 | 2.8 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| Haley Debuse | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Liz Cote | - | 19 | 28.8 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 163 | 12.5 | 191.4 | 33.8 | 33.8 | 60.0 | 1.89 | 48.6 | 48.1 |
| Jai'La Porter | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Freda Moore | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 25.0 | - | 69.4 | 87.5 |
| Avah Ingalls | - | 19 | 27.5 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 10.0 | 91 | 7.0 | 122.4 | 46.7 | 27.3 | 72.3 | 2.16 | 56.1 | 51.0 |
| Lexi Barnes | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 23 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.83 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Ella Klusman | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Meghan Keil | - | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Izzy Morelli | - | 18 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 14 | 0.9 | 29.9 | 41.5 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -2.76 | 50.2 | 42.7 |
| Lexi Morin | - | 8 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | -3 | -0.5 | -9.5 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 77.8 | -0.85 | 40.1 | 31.0 |
| Lita Guslens | - | 18 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 17 | 1.3 | 87.7 | 41.7 | 0 | 28.6 | -1.57 | 40.9 | 41.7 |
| Baleria Yugu | - | 10 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 36 | 5.1 | 126.5 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.68 | 51.7 | 38.5 |
| Ali Portas | - | 11 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 41 | 4.6 | 149.5 | 36.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 1.9 | 47.8 | 47.4 |
| Morgan Cunningham | - | 12 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 14 | 2.0 | 47.3 | 26.1 | 11.8 | 100.0 | -2.55 | 33.5 | 30.4 |
| Franki Bello | - | 10 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 27 | 3.9 | 116.8 | 36.4 | 0 | 57.1 | 1.28 | 42.6 | 36.4 |
| Julia Kratzer | - | 19 | 11.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 61 | 3.8 | 109.3 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 2.61 | 39.8 | 39.3 |
| Emma Stred | - | 11 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.66 | 45.1 | 40.0 |
| Hope Elias | - | 13 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 17 | 1.7 | 96.5 | 20.0 | 23.1 | 0 | 0.38 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Campbell Doughty | - | 17 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 62 | 4.4 | 222.8 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 3.71 | 37.8 | 36.7 |
| Bri Townsend | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Alexandra Portas | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 41 | 4.6 | 149.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kathryn Gaughen | - | 1 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG