🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Me.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Southern Me.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1073 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1119 (#108) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1093 (#100) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.6 (#141) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +2.0 (#321) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.509 (#461) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.342 (#432) AdjNet -5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.336 (#430) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.403 (#433) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 81.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.633 (#171) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.597 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.609 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 22 More → 1130 (#125) RD 94 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 vs U New England W 97 - 62
2025-11-15 @ Me.-Presque Isle W 82 - 64
2025-11-19 @ Emmanuel (MA) L 70 - 83
2025-11-21 vs Endicott L 80 - 100
2025-11-22 vs Suffolk L 80 - 90
2025-11-25 @ Bates L 72 - 80
2025-11-30 vs St. Joseph's (ME) W 91 - 83
2025-12-03 @ UMass Boston L 74 - 77
2025-12-06 vs WestConn W 76 - 72
2025-12-10 vs Me.-Farmington W 85 - 82
2025-12-30 @ Maine Maritime W 71 - 50
2026-01-03 @ Keene St. L 75 - 96
2026-01-06 vs Rhode Island Col. W 101 - 86
2026-01-10 @ VTSU Castleton W 78 - 74
2026-01-14 vs UMass Dartmouth W 95 - 89
2026-01-17 vs Eastern Conn. St. W 81 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Plymouth St. W 77 - 69
2026-01-24 @ WestConn L 75 - 78
2026-01-28 vs UMass Boston W 105 - 63
2026-01-31 vs Keene St. L 77 - 88
2026-02-04 @ Rhode Island Col. W 74 - 68
2026-02-07 @ Eastern Conn. St. L 85 - 88

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Camden DiChiara - 1 33.0 31.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 22.0 11 0.8 3.2 52.6 50.0 85.7 0.02 70.2 65.8
Thomas Whelan - 21 33.5 20.6 4.9 3.0 1.9 0.3 4.1 15.6 11.0 16 1.1 4.3 45.1 33.6 86.8 0.16 57.3 50.9
Danny Reyes - 1 36.0 17.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 9.0 -20 -1.1 -5.0 35.3 0.0 83.3 0.82 43.3 35.3
Ryan Flauto - 1 29.0 16.0 13.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 25.0 19 1.1 6.1 70.0 0 100.0 1.77 73.5 70.0
Carter Galley - 21 23.9 11.5 3.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 1.6 8.3 7.0 60 4.0 24.3 53.1 42.6 96.8 0.94 64.1 60.6
Evans Sterling - 9 31.7 11.2 4.6 2.1 1.2 1.1 2.4 6.7 11.1 18 1.5 13.0 63.3 33.3 66.7 0.5 67.8 65.8
Noah Dowling - 21 24.7 10.5 5.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.3 7.0 11.4 82 5.5 32.6 48.6 44.3 80.0 2.65 66.6 63.4
Gabe Lash - 21 32.2 9.1 5.5 2.1 1.3 0.3 1.9 6.6 10.0 38 2.5 13.4 40.6 35.4 73.3 2.31 54.6 46.7
Nic Boyd - 1 35.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 5.0 9 0.5 2.1 37.5 25.0 50.0 1.94 45.0 43.8
Mahdee McNair - 1 25.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 -13 -0.8 -5.5 42.9 0.0 100.0 0.47 50.8 42.9
Andrew Hartel - 21 19.0 6.5 4.5 1.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 4.4 7.5 -10 -0.7 -5.3 53.8 0.0 78.7 -2.17 60.3 53.8
Cohen Galley - 21 16.5 6.0 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.8 34 2.3 14.8 43.0 37.7 70.4 -0.4 55.9 53.0
Camden Dunbury - 1 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0 0 -0.98 60.0 60.0
Stephen Gabriel III - 6 10.4 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.2 2.3 3.5 1 0.1 1.5 35.7 16.7 90.0 2.78 54.3 39.3
Aidan Obriien - 5 2.4 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.8 - - - 75.0 60.0 0 - 93.8 93.8
Darius Peterson - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3 0.2 1.8 33.3 50.0 0 -2.36 50.0 50.0
Diego Colon - 6 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.7 -42 -6.0 -224.0 36.4 40.0 55.6 -0.57 56.8 54.5
Logan Bagshaw - 7 11.3 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 3.1 -0.1 - - - 18.2 7.7 75.0 - 25.3 20.5
Zion Simpson - 4 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 -0.2 -4 -4.0 -57.8 20.0 0.0 0.0 -0.74 18.4 20.0
Juan Bruce - 5 1.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 3 1.0 15.5 25.0 0 0 0.15 25.0 25.0
Noah Hebert - 7 3.4 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 -6 -2.0 -35.7 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.49 30.7 25.0
Mckhel Joyner - 1 5.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Max McClure - 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3 1.5 41.9 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
Jesse Basse - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -8 -0.6 -11.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.28 0.0 0.0
Charles Bembery - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -24 -2.7 -244.1 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Barry Golden - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 2 0.3 21.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0
Strada Joseph - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -21 -1.8 -29.6 0 0 0 1.01 0 0
Isaiah Makor - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 7 0.6 40.6 0.0 0 0 0.74 0.0 0.0
Ken Perry - 3 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
George Childs - 3 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -1 -1.0 -11.0 0.0 0 0 -0.12 0.0 0.0
Zhangir Dyussenov - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.12 0.0 0.0
Marko Joksovic - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG