Southern Ill.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 959 (#260) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 954 (#217) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.6 (#223) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.954 (#152) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.382 (#411) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.784 (#130) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.976 (#109) | AdjNet +32.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.197 (#527) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.978 (#110) | AdjNet +32.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.198 (#528) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.859 (#121) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.355 (#504) | AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Holy Family | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Bloomfield | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Post | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 76 - 38 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Pace | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Dominican (NY) | L | 55 - 76 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Fairfield | L | 47 - 94 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Daemen | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2024-12-08 | vs | D'Youville | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ | New Haven | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Caldwell | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Mercy | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 57 - 44 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Molloy | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Daemen | L | 44 - 50 |
| 2025-02-02 | @ | D'Youville | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Mercy | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 76 - 57 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Molloy | L | 45 - 69 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Mercy | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-03-09 | @ | Daemen | L | 68 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenalyse Alarcon | - | 31 | 32.7 | 14.3 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 14.2 | 86 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 49.2 | 30.0 | 75.6 | 0.67 | 57.2 | 50.2 |
| Amber Abusbeih | - | 31 | 32.3 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 46 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 39.4 | 32.5 | 66.7 | 0.08 | 49.3 | 45.5 |
| Dana Phelan | - | 31 | 26.4 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 138 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 34.2 | 30.2 | 60.9 | -0.01 | 46.1 | 44.5 |
| Kyra Rose | - | 27 | 22.6 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 153 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 44.8 | 0.57 | 46.4 | 45.5 |
| Alexa Quirolo | - | 31 | 27.8 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 34.9 | 31.2 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 45.3 | 43.5 |
| Madison Haggett | - | 31 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 28.6 | 25.2 | 65.0 | -0.43 | 40.1 | 38.1 |
| Noemia Massingue | - | 28 | 17.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 24 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 37.5 | 26.7 | 61.8 | 0.25 | 45.8 | 39.6 |
| Mia Fuller | - | 31 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 43 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 31.3 | 17.1 | 64.0 | 0.45 | 41.0 | 35.8 |
| Dorothy Wiese | - | 31 | 14.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 12 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 27.0 | 17.4 | 70.8 | -0.94 | 37.4 | 30.2 |
| Oyinkansola Oke | - | 31 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 31.1 | 35.7 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 42.9 | 42.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG