Southern Conn. St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#142) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1009 (#170) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.4 (#94) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.799 (#244) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.898 (#65) | NetEff +17.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.741 (#301) | AdjNet +9.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.756 (#300) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.642 (#293) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 60.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 105 - 33 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Mercy | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Adelphi | W | 73 - 39 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Bloomfield | W | 112 - 39 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bentley | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Caldwell | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2024-12-22 | vs | Molloy | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Pace | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Assumption | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | American Int'l | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | New Haven | W | 76 - 55 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Adelphi | W | 65 - 37 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Bentley | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Pace | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Saint Michael's | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | American Int'l | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Assumption | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | New Haven | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2025-03-02 | vs | Pace | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Bentley | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 41 - 59 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Haines | - | 30 | 37.3 | 16.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 8.3 | 90 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 41.9 | 33.5 | 83.5 | 0.51 | 54.1 | 50.8 |
| Katie Williamson | - | 29 | 28.0 | 14.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 53 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 42.0 | 16.7 | 82.1 | 0.34 | 47.6 | 42.2 |
| Hope Fox | - | 30 | 30.6 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 11.9 | 32 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 41.8 | 22.2 | 85.8 | 0.38 | 52.9 | 44.4 |
| Rheyna Steinauer | - | 30 | 23.2 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 40.9 | 30.9 | 74.1 | 0.84 | 50.0 | 46.4 |
| Jillian Martin | - | 30 | 33.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 7.2 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 34.9 | 35.4 | 91.5 | 0.43 | 51.3 | 43.3 |
| Ally Sentance | - | 30 | 17.6 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 5.1 | -18 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 34.0 | 32.4 | 56.5 | 0.06 | 43.6 | 42.2 |
| Lyzi Litwinko | - | 25 | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | -9 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 80.0 | -0.3 | 52.2 | 45.3 |
| Renza Milner | - | 30 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 54.3 | 0 | 31.8 | -0.21 | 51.2 | 54.3 |
| Arianna Gerkin | - | 15 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 58.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.06 | 61.3 | 58.8 |
| Maya Henry | - | 28 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -26 | -0.8 | -3.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 76.5 | -0.47 | 43.9 | 28.6 |
| Marisa Lee | - | 30 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 27 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 26.7 | 0 | 44.4 | 0.08 | 34.9 | 26.7 |
| Kieara Kirvan | - | 16 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 73.5 | 50.0 |
| Gianna Donnarummo | - | 29 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG