Southern Conn. St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1140 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1112 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1213 (#12) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#89) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.6 (#175) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.799 (#244) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.939 (#117) | NetEff +20.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.741 (#301) | AdjNet +9.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.756 (#300) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.642 (#293) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.746 (#53) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 52.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.831 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.833 (#63) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1258 (#27) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 104 - 59 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Mercy | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | American Int'l | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Molloy | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Saint Michael's | L | 68 - 86 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Staten Island | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 61 - 42 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Bridgeport | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Post | W | 86 - 55 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Assumption | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | American Int'l | W | 70 - 39 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Saint Anselm | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Adelphi | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Saint Anselm | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bentley | W | 57 - 39 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Pace | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Southern N.H. | W | 55 - 47 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayla Howard | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | -142 | -9.5 | -60.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -1.51 | 79.1 | 75.0 |
| Rheyna Steinauer | - | 18 | 27.4 | 16.4 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 10.8 | 120 | 5.0 | 24.3 | 45.0 | 34.9 | 80.4 | 3.9 | 54.3 | 51.0 |
| Ketura Rutty | - | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | -46 | -3.1 | -24.9 | 71.4 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.75 | 77.8 | 71.4 |
| Sky Priester | - | 1 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -100 | -6.7 | -36.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.2 | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Taeya Steinauer | - | 18 | 32.5 | 12.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 11.9 | 8.8 | 27 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 40.9 | 24.7 | 83.3 | 2.54 | 48.9 | 46.0 |
| Tish Blackwood | - | 13 | 25.9 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 79 | 5.3 | 25.5 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 61.4 | 6.68 | 49.2 | 46.3 |
| Tamia Nunes | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | -79 | -4.9 | -25.5 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
| Hope Fox | - | 18 | 32.9 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 153 | 6.4 | 28.9 | 37.0 | 36.2 | 88.5 | -1.41 | 50.6 | 42.8 |
| Jada Williams | - | 8 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 10 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 35.2 | 0 | 70.3 | -0.51 | 45.5 | 35.2 |
| Jillian Martin | - | 18 | 34.8 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 8.1 | 157 | 6.5 | 26.8 | 41.6 | 34.4 | 82.4 | 3.37 | 57.3 | 52.0 |
| Ally Sentance | - | 11 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 36.2 | 38.9 | 72.7 | -2.69 | 53.5 | 51.4 |
| Isabella Javier | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -88 | -5.9 | -36.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.5 | 52.1 | 25.0 |
| Tisharona Blackwood | - | 5 | 22.3 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 9.4 | 62 | 10.3 | 57.7 | 54.5 | 0 | 37.5 | 2.58 | 51.7 | 54.5 |
| Iyanna Cotten | - | 11 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 0.8 | -20 | -1.4 | -39.3 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 0.41 | 41.8 | 40.6 |
| Kayleigh Ahern | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -21 | -1.4 | -12.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.18 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Arianna Gerkin | - | 10 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 41.7 | 0 | 71.4 | -2.63 | 49.7 | 41.7 |
| Dalana Taylor | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -8.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emma Gribben | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -55 | -3.4 | -75.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.51 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Maya Henry | - | 18 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.14 | 47.9 | 47.5 |
| Marisa Lee | - | 6 | 10.7 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 46 | 5.8 | 265.4 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 19.8 | 10.0 |
| Jaycee Merizalde | - | 11 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 13 | 1.3 | 48.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Serenity Downey | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.1 | -23.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aleena Skyers | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -24 | -2.2 | -43.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Brianna Pope | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -13 | -0.9 | -12.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lovie D'Onofrio | - | 3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -71.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Lovelynn D'Onofrio | - | 2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 62.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG