Southern Conn. St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1067 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1106 (#73) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.5 (#135) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.697 (#218) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.706 (#111) | NetEff +8.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.693 (#304) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.693 (#308) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.614 (#311) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Staten Island | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 77 - 88 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 88 - 73 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Adelphi | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bentley | L | 89 - 90 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Holy Family | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Daemen | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Mercy | W | 96 - 74 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Pace | L | 58 - 91 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Assumption | L | 89 - 98 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Post | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | American Int'l | W | 85 - 75 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | New Haven | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 105 - 74 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Adelphi | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Bentley | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Pace | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Southern N.H. | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | American Int'l | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Assumption | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | New Haven | W | 87 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 107 - 65 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Saint Anselm | W | 93 - 71 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Bentley | L | 84 - 87 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Vargas | - | 28 | 31.4 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 123 | 5.9 | 13.2 | 42.1 | 40.8 | 86.2 | 0.94 | 53.3 | 49.6 |
| Antonio Chandler | - | 25 | 27.2 | 15.8 | 10.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 10.4 | 17.3 | 100 | 5.3 | 11.4 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 62.6 | 1.27 | 64.8 | 63.8 |
| Cherif Diarra | - | 26 | 29.4 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 17.6 | 152 | 4.8 | 17.8 | 57.0 | 33.3 | 64.9 | 1.47 | 62.1 | 57.9 |
| Isaac Hester | - | 27 | 29.1 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 150 | 7.5 | 18.6 | 37.8 | 37.3 | 68.0 | 1.78 | 50.0 | 48.8 |
| Sean James | - | 27 | 24.7 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 80 | 3.8 | 10.7 | 38.1 | 36.5 | 55.6 | 0.4 | 50.7 | 50.2 |
| Christian McClease | - | 28 | 25.1 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 37.2 | 80.8 | - | 53.5 | 51.3 |
| Christian Joe | - | 26 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 35.1 | 32.3 | 71.0 | - | 46.7 | 43.1 |
| Elijah Wood | - | 26 | 13.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 38.0 | 36.4 | 57.9 | -0.05 | 52.0 | 50.9 |
| Jack Margoupis | - | 21 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 26.5 | 62.5 | - | 38.2 | 36.1 |
| Makai Coleman | - | 28 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -30 | -3.0 | -95.1 | 37.2 | 34.5 | 50.0 | -0.75 | 49.3 | 48.8 |
| Evan Gutowski | - | 24 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 26 | 13.0 | 111.6 | 73.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 67.4 | 73.3 |
| Sage Gatling | - | 27 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 78.1 | 87.5 |
| Logan Bagshaw | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kazell Stewart | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG