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Southern Ark.

Also known as: Southern Ark.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1010 (#169) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.7 (#92) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.623 (#320) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.3 More → 0.758 (#143) NetEff +9.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.4 More → 0.881 (#219) AdjNet +17.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.0 More → 0.893 (#214) AdjNet +18.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.747 (#213) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 60.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 77 - 53
2024-11-09 @ Newman W 58 - 50
2024-11-13 @ Christian Brothers W 66 - 45
2024-11-16 vs Arlington Baptist W 108 - 37
2024-11-22 vs Delta St. L 41 - 42
2024-11-30 vs Dallas Christian W 102 - 40
2024-12-05 @ Southern Nazarene L 50 - 61
2024-12-07 @ Okla. Baptist L 57 - 64
2024-12-12 @ Ouachita Baptist W 64 - 58
2024-12-14 vs Arkansas Tech W 81 - 70
2024-12-19 @ Henderson St. L 67 - 70
2025-01-04 vs Harding L 68 - 79
2025-01-09 vs Southeastern Okla. L 64 - 69
2025-01-11 vs East Central W 70 - 58
2025-01-16 @ Southwestern Okla. L 47 - 55
2025-01-18 @ Northwestern Okla. L 59 - 75
2025-01-23 vs Ark.-Monticello W 68 - 66
2025-01-25 vs Henderson St. L 68 - 75
2025-01-30 vs Okla. Baptist W 58 - 56
2025-02-01 vs Southern Nazarene L 87 - 92
2025-02-06 @ East Central W 56 - 52
2025-02-08 @ Southeastern Okla. L 56 - 74
2025-02-13 @ Ark.-Monticello W 72 - 62
2025-02-15 @ Harding L 55 - 73
2025-02-21 vs Northwestern Okla. L 67 - 72
2025-02-23 vs Southwestern Okla. L 56 - 64
2025-02-27 vs Ouachita Baptist W 70 - 61
2025-03-01 @ Arkansas Tech W 68 - 60
2025-03-06 @ Harding L 49 - 64

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Qua Chambers - 29 29.4 14.6 3.9 2.5 1.9 0.2 3.1 11.6 8.4 48 1.7 1.8 46.6 39.3 83.0 0.36 55.5 50.1
Morgan Browning - 1 25.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 13.0 1.0 - - - 30.8 0.0 50.0 -0.16 35.2 30.8
Addy Tremie - 29 30.9 10.7 3.6 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.2 10.4 4.6 10 0.3 0.4 38.2 32.3 79.2 0.06 49.6 48.2
Crystal Ortiz - 29 28.4 9.8 6.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 1.6 9.0 8.0 38 1.3 1.6 39.1 34.1 76.2 0.12 49.0 45.0
Chloe Wilbanks - 29 21.1 8.2 1.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 2.2 6.0 3.8 -17 -0.6 -0.8 41.0 40.0 82.4 -0.37 57.6 50.9
Anna Trusty - 1 31.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 3.0 - - - 23.1 28.6 0 0.42 30.8 30.8
Elena Lijo-Rodriguez - 26 24.2 7.7 5.7 0.2 0.5 1.7 1.6 6.3 7.9 -6 -0.2 -0.2 54.9 0 65.5 0.57 56.3 54.9
Hannah Boyett - 1 15.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 100.0 -0.31 51.8 30.0
Jordan Gregory - 1 14.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -21 -0.8 -2.5 40.0 0.0 75.0 -0.15 51.8 40.0
Marlee Bright - 29 30.7 6.5 4.6 4.9 3.1 0.2 2.0 4.8 12.5 4 0.1 0.1 52.9 41.7 64.9 0.78 57.6 54.7
Sinetra Jones - 1 20.0 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 -46 -1.9 -3.7 33.3 0 0 -0.42 33.3 33.3
Olivia Johnson - 1 23.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.07 29.6 0.0
Zyniah Thomas - 1 23.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -2.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 0.03 28.6 28.6
Elena Lijo-rodriguez - 3 22.0 3.3 7.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.3 5.0 6.0 -6 -0.2 -0.2 26.7 0 100.0 0.57 31.5 26.7
Riley Stanford - 29 11.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.6 0.7 17 0.6 1.3 30.5 26.9 80.0 0.18 41.5 40.5
Telisha Brown - 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -7 -0.2 -0.3 50.0 100.0 0 0.03 75.0 75.0
McKenzie Piper - 1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 -0.23 79.8 100.0
Johnna Brockman - 29 9.4 2.3 2.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.9 -59 -1.7 -3.5 40.0 0.0 62.0 -0.44 50.0 40.0
Haylee Mitchell - 28 3.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.2 10 0.6 3.3 33.3 0 60.0 0.14 38.2 33.3
Serenity Golightly - 29 5.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.2 -26 -1.2 -3.1 24.2 10.5 66.7 -0.24 34.0 27.3
Ti'Alone Banks - 28 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 22 4.4 14.3 50.0 0 33.3 0.19 49.1 50.0
Pashonnay Johnson - 29 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 - - - 53.8 28.6 50.0 -0.06 61.0 61.5
Shiloh Fletcher - 26 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 3 0.2 0.4 75.0 50.0 75.0 0.18 86.8 87.5
Jada Gasaway - 28 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 - - - 42.9 33.3 50.0 - 50.8 50.0
Sofia McNabb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50 1.4 4.2 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
Madison Young - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -44 -1.5 -2.2 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
Abby Summitt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
Layne Kirkendoll - 1 8.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0
Brooklyn Woolsey - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bella Frisby - 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG