🐻⬇️🏀

Smith

Also known as: Smith
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1115 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1225 (#17) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +28.4 (#5) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.978 (#167) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +33.0 More → 0.989 (#16) NetEff +33.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +42.2 More → 0.993 (#101) AdjNet +42.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +42.0 More → 0.993 (#104) AdjNet +42.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 50.2 More → 0.915 (#115) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 50.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Ramapo W 95 - 33
2024-11-10 vs Arcadia W 92 - 56
2024-11-15 @ Redlands W 56 - 51
2024-11-16 @ Pomona-Pitzer W 60 - 43
2024-11-20 vs UMass Dartmouth L 60 - 63
2024-12-01 @ Trinity (CT) W 74 - 49
2024-12-04 @ Williams W 74 - 54
2024-12-10 @ MIT W 71 - 47
2024-12-30 vs Oswego St. W 89 - 39
2024-12-31 vs Roger Williams W 63 - 50
2025-01-04 @ Bridgewater St. W 83 - 50
2025-01-07 @ Hamilton W 69 - 41
2025-01-11 vs Springfield W 70 - 39
2025-01-18 @ WPI W 61 - 51
2025-01-22 vs Babson W 57 - 50
2025-01-25 vs Wheaton (MA) W 83 - 37
2025-01-29 @ Springfield W 71 - 36
2025-02-01 vs Salve Regina W 88 - 38
2025-02-05 vs Coast Guard W 89 - 60
2025-02-08 @ Clark (MA) W 84 - 44
2025-02-11 vs Tufts L 50 - 60
2025-02-12 @ Mount Holyoke W 81 - 30
2025-02-15 vs MIT W 77 - 38
2025-02-19 vs Emerson W 69 - 51
2025-02-22 @ Wellesley W 86 - 50
2025-02-26 vs Coast Guard W 70 - 62
2025-02-28 vs Salve Regina W 96 - 54
2025-03-02 vs MIT W 79 - 66
2025-03-07 vs SUNY Cobleskill W 69 - 59
2025-03-08 vs Amherst W 52 - 50
2025-03-14 @ Bowdoin W 53 - 47
2025-03-15 @ Gustavus Adolphus W 61 - 50
2025-03-20 vs Wis.-Oshkosh W 49 - 47
2025-03-22 @ NYU L 49 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
pLAYER pLAYER - 1 31.0 15.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 13.0 10.0 - - - 38.5 0.0 83.3 - 48.0 38.5
ALLY LANDAU - 2 37.5 14.5 7.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 3.5 15.5 6.5 123 4.0 4.2 32.3 18.2 77.8 0.67 41.5 35.5
JANE LOO - 2 35.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 9.0 6.0 76 2.5 3.0 38.9 50.0 66.7 0.28 50.1 44.4
HANNAH MARTIN - 2 35.5 9.5 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 10.5 3.5 150 3.7 4.4 28.6 11.1 100.0 0.77 40.2 31.0
ELLA SYLVESTER - 2 28.5 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.5 5.5 177 4.4 6.2 61.5 0 0 0.9 61.5 61.5
JAZMYN WASHINGTON - 2 30.0 7.5 6.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 6.0 9.5 96 3.0 3.5 50.0 0 42.9 0.42 49.7 50.0
VIRGINIA JOHNSON - 2 21.0 6.5 6.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 8.5 139 3.2 5.5 50.0 60.0 100.0 0.83 73.2 68.8
Jillian Nowicki - 25 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.4 147 6.4 24.5 47.5 50.0 0 1.37 63.7 63.7
Kate Hackney - 30 4.4 1.5 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.4 28 0.8 2.9 34.2 0.0 59.4 -0.34 43.2 34.2
Samara Ashooh - 29 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 47 2.2 13.9 51.6 0 70.0 0.2 55.1 51.6
Mya Williams - 24 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 28 2.2 3.6 47.6 0 41.2 1.53 47.4 47.6
Alina Abdulina - 29 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 49 2.9 33.4 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.38 15.7 18.2
MAGGIE FLEMING - 2 5.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 220 5.5 10.6 0.0 0 0 1.78 0.0 0.0
SHEA MONTAGUE - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75 3.3 22.9 0 0 0 0.33 0 0
LENA LIPANI - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.2 0.9 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
UTA NAKAMURA - 2 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.5 148 3.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Selam Maher - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -0.5 -2.7 0 0 0 0.6 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG