Slippery Rock
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 853 (#485) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 845 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 847 (#655) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.6 (#243) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.1 (#471) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.057 (#559) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.171 (#375) | NetEff -12.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.110 (#583) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#583) | AdjNet -17.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.262 (#583) | AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#594) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.265 (#550) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#555) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 854 (#427) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Duquesne | L | 53 - 108 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Tiffin | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Walsh | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mansfield | W | 66 - 40 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Shepherd | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Bloomsburg | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 60 - 100 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 75 - 96 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | California (PA) | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Edinboro | L | 50 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Gannon | L | 51 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 72 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iyanna Wade | - | 20 | 36.6 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 36.5 | 30.9 | 67.6 | -0.8 | 46.4 | 40.7 |
| Sophia Hook | - | 20 | 35.0 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 11.0 | 6.8 | -52 | -2.6 | -10.3 | 40.5 | 36.2 | 75.0 | 0.27 | 51.8 | 49.1 |
| Alyssa Gillin | - | 20 | 32.3 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 10.7 | 7.8 | -29 | -1.4 | -6.9 | 40.8 | 35.7 | 61.1 | 0.13 | 50.9 | 50.2 |
| Kayley Joseph-Bernard | - | 19 | 33.9 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 7.8 | 13.2 | -28 | -1.4 | -5.7 | 44.6 | 38.5 | 71.4 | 0.32 | 50.9 | 49.7 |
| Karianna Woods | - | 18 | 29.8 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 4.6 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.2 | 39.9 | 11.1 | 64.6 | 0.35 | 44.9 | 40.6 |
| Mairan Haggerty | - | 20 | 15.7 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 4.2 | -82 | -3.7 | -26.8 | 41.1 | 35.1 | 72.1 | -0.99 | 51.1 | 46.4 |
| Hannah Pugliese | - | 16 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 30.3 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.85 | 42.8 | 36.4 |
| Deryn Moye | - | 17 | 8.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.9 | 30.3 | 23.8 | 75.0 | 2.04 | 40.3 | 37.9 |
| Claudia Ierullo | - | 8 | 9.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -41 | -5.9 | -40.9 | 41.7 | 60.0 | 0.0 | -2.12 | 52.3 | 54.2 |
| Laney Bone | - | 8 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -0.2 | -10 | -1.4 | -14.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 18.2 | 7.7 |
| Sarah Chawki | - | 10 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -5 | -0.5 | -11.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 28.1 | 25.0 |
| Jorja Bernesser | - | 13 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -40 | -3.1 | -77.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -2.06 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG