Sioux Falls
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#472) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1002 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 923 (#589) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.9 (#84) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.8 (#199) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.494 (#365) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.404 (#300) | NetEff -3.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.880 (#221) | AdjNet +17.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.892 (#216) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.741 (#216) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.580 (#196) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#229) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 922 (#336) | RD 92 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Utah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Fort Hays St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Vaaler | - | 21 | 34.5 | 19.3 | 7.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 10.6 | 24 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 38.1 | 88.4 | 2.54 | 52.5 | 48.5 |
| Krista Langager | - | 21 | 24.7 | 15.4 | 7.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 77 | 3.2 | 15.6 | 59.7 | 0.0 | 59.7 | 3.61 | 60.6 | 59.7 |
| Alexis Rose | - | 21 | 32.3 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 9.8 | 8.7 | 50 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 44.2 | 38.0 | 72.5 | 2.84 | 55.4 | 51.5 |
| Ayla Brown | - | 21 | 37.1 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 8.1 | 10.0 | -18 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 44.4 | 28.9 | 80.0 | -0.49 | 52.6 | 47.7 |
| Danielle Minsaas | - | 11 | 25.3 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 7.5 | 12 | 1.0 | 16.1 | 43.9 | 47.1 | 68.2 | -1.14 | 54.7 | 50.9 |
| Rease Murtaugh | - | 21 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -18 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 33.7 | 32.8 | 81.2 | -1.87 | 48.9 | 45.3 |
| Gracie Traphagen | - | 21 | 16.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | -80 | -3.3 | -23.4 | 35.4 | 28.8 | 100.0 | -2.13 | 51.2 | 46.9 |
| Landree Wilson | - | 21 | 10.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 10 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 76.9 | -0.26 | 46.1 | 40.5 |
| Brooklyn Harpe | - | 17 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.9 | -15 | -0.8 | -8.3 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 | -0.39 | 67.4 | 64.3 |
| Olivia Hayenga | - | 4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.2 | -2.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.82 | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Dani Coleman | - | 4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.79 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| Hannah Harpe | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -5 | -0.8 | -18.8 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Anna Fronk | - | 17 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -30 | -1.6 | -25.1 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -0.89 | 32.2 | 27.5 |
| Maya Dolliver | - | 5 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.4 | -9.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG