🐻⬇️🏀

Sioux Falls

Also known as: Sioux Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#108) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1059 (#116) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +11.3 (#60) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#305) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.4 More → 0.511 (#215) NetEff +0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More → 0.898 (#141) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.1 More → 0.903 (#136) AdjNet +19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.785 (#135) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 72.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Washburn L 71 - 89
2024-11-09 vs Southern Ark. W 73 - 68
2024-11-16 vs Jamestown W 80 - 69
2024-11-22 @ Chadron St. W 91 - 76
2024-11-23 @ Black Hills St. L 70 - 89
2024-11-26 vs Augustana (SD) W 65 - 52
2024-11-30 vs Doane W 104 - 64
2024-12-06 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 69 - 97
2024-12-07 vs Minn. Duluth W 71 - 68
2024-12-13 @ Winona St. L 65 - 71
2024-12-14 @ Minnesota St. L 79 - 82
2024-12-19 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 61 - 66
2024-12-21 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 72 - 84
2025-01-04 @ Minn.-Crookston W 85 - 66
2025-01-10 vs Minot St. W 85 - 61
2025-01-11 vs MSU Moorhead W 81 - 76
2025-01-17 vs Mary W 80 - 74
2025-01-18 vs Northern St. W 81 - 71
2025-01-24 @ St. Cloud St. L 69 - 78
2025-01-25 @ Bemidji St. L 68 - 76
2025-01-30 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 78 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 81 - 88
2025-02-06 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 106 - 108
2025-02-08 vs Minnesota St. L 73 - 75
2025-02-11 @ Augustana (SD) W 86 - 80
2025-02-14 vs Minn.-Crookston W 71 - 64
2025-02-21 @ Northern St. W 77 - 66
2025-02-22 @ Mary W 82 - 75
2025-02-26 @ Minot St. L 56 - 81

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Creighton Morisch - 29 29.2 13.7 10.5 3.6 0.8 1.7 2.0 10.0 18.0 -36 -1.3 -2.5 51.9 34.1 75.5 0.8 58.6 54.3
Noah Puetz - 29 27.7 13.5 4.6 3.1 0.7 0.2 2.4 10.7 8.9 -12 -0.5 -1.5 45.5 33.7 80.0 0.32 55.7 51.0
Taylen Ashley - 29 30.8 13.0 3.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 2.6 11.4 6.0 -81 -2.2 -5.7 41.4 37.5 73.4 0.02 52.6 50.0
Kyle Ingwerson - 29 27.4 10.7 4.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 9.2 6.7 13 0.4 1.2 41.0 38.3 73.3 0.49 55.3 53.9
Shawn Warrior - 29 29.7 10.4 5.9 2.4 1.1 0.9 1.8 8.4 10.4 -5 -0.2 -0.4 47.3 23.3 53.9 2.4 50.9 48.8
Kenji Scales - 29 19.5 6.5 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 4.4 4.4 -37 -1.9 -4.4 44.2 42.0 88.2 0.18 62.1 55.4
Brandon Hrncir - 21 10.7 4.8 2.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 3.9 4.0 -16 -0.8 -7.3 43.9 35.7 81.8 0.02 54.5 50.0
Jack Cartwright - 25 8.7 2.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.7 -13 -1.1 -8.3 41.2 50.0 62.5 -0.14 59.6 58.8
Josh Baker - 29 6.6 1.0 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.3 -17 -1.7 -6.0 47.8 0.0 60.0 0.22 51.1 47.8
Jacoby Mehrman - 29 6.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.1 26 1.6 165.1 28.6 30.8 50.0 -0.99 33.8 33.3
Adam Scherbakov - 29 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 0 0.0 0.0 41.2 41.7 50.0 -1.39 55.9 55.9
Sam Grant - 29 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 -6 -3.0 -45.6 33.3 20.0 0 -1.12 37.5 37.5
Dylan Ruder - 29 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 66.7 50.0 -1.26 79.8 100.0
Jacob Taitte - 29 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 - - - 42.9 0.0 0.0 - 40.3 42.9
Eli Ehrke - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG