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Sioux Falls

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Sioux Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#108) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1066 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1072 (#100) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.1 (#90) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +11.2 (#144) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#305) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +66.0 More → 0.999 (#24) NetEff +66.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More → 0.898 (#141) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.1 More → 0.903 (#136) AdjNet +19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.785 (#135) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.649 (#106) AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 79.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.703 (#128) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 24 More → 1060 (#169) RD 96 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Pittsburg St. L 76 - 91
2025-11-15 vs Central Mo. L 77 - 82
2025-11-21 vs Chadron St. W 84 - 57
2025-11-22 vs Grand Valley St. L 73 - 77
2025-11-25 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 71 - 79
2025-11-28 vs Peru St. W 97 - 67
2025-12-03 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 79 - 91
2025-12-06 vs Augustana (SD) L 106 - 108
2025-12-13 @ Winona St. L 77 - 91
2025-12-14 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 92 - 95
2025-12-18 vs St. Cloud St. W 82 - 77
2025-12-20 vs Minnesota St. W 98 - 90
2026-01-03 @ Southwest Minn. St. W 81 - 78
2026-01-05 vs Briar Cliff (IA) W 81 - 75
2026-01-09 @ Minn. Duluth W 93 - 89
2026-01-10 @ Bemidji St. W 97 - 94
2026-01-16 vs Mary W 90 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Minot St. W 95 - 73
2026-01-23 vs Minn.-Crookston L 78 - 85
2026-01-24 vs MSU Moorhead W 82 - 81
2026-01-30 @ Northern St. W 81 - 65
2026-01-31 @ Jamestown L 73 - 87
2026-02-05 @ Minnesota St. L 95 - 98
2026-02-07 @ St. Cloud St. L 65 - 102

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brogan Madson - 24 29.8 18.4 2.4 2.9 1.3 0.0 2.3 13.0 9.8 102 4.4 20.1 46.6 28.8 68.6 0.13 57.0 51.8
Taylen Ashley - 20 31.5 14.8 3.8 2.8 0.6 0.1 2.2 13.4 6.4 59 3.1 11.4 41.3 31.5 60.0 -0.5 49.7 47.8
Brandon Hrncir - 23 27.5 14.3 6.2 2.0 0.4 0.3 1.9 9.5 11.8 74 3.4 17.4 51.1 33.3 82.7 -0.64 61.9 55.3
Kyle Ingwerson - 23 30.5 13.1 4.9 2.1 0.9 0.5 1.1 11.9 8.6 71 3.2 17.4 38.5 39.0 84.2 5.49 52.1 49.5
Jacoby Mehrman - 24 28.1 7.5 4.5 2.3 1.3 0.4 1.3 5.2 9.4 21 0.9 4.7 53.2 18.5 74.1 -1.68 60.2 55.2
Gerard Bosch - 16 14.5 6.1 4.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 4.5 7.1 1 0.1 0.4 54.2 8.3 66.7 -1.45 57.8 54.9
Alex Mattes - 16 14.2 5.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 3.8 2.9 4 0.2 9.3 49.2 34.8 78.1 0.21 61.9 55.7
Camden Davis - 24 16.0 4.8 4.3 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.8 6.0 37 1.6 13.7 40.2 26.7 71.7 -0.54 51.2 44.6
Bryon Laue - 24 14.2 4.0 4.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 2.9 6.2 32 1.4 12.2 50.7 0 61.0 -2.18 54.6 50.7
Lewis Woosnam - 19 11.0 2.7 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.5 2.7 2.8 21 1.1 14.2 39.2 10.0 55.6 1.86 43.3 40.2
James Spencer III - 1 7.3 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -62 -4.8 -33.4 0.0 0 100.0 0.37 25.8 0.0
Reed Pfaltzgraff - 11 7.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 -26 -2.4 -26.9 29.4 25.0 55.6 -1.04 38.2 32.4
Marshall Smythe - 4 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 -0.2 -20 -5.0 -174.5 50.0 0.0 0 -0.41 50.0 50.0
Lewis Malcolm - 3 4.4 0.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 -22 -7.3 -220.9 50.0 0 0 -0.77 50.0 50.0
Owen Bernatz - 2 3.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG