Simpson (CA)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 961 (#291) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.036 (#680) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.095 (#551) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.087 (#548) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.270 (#530) | AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 65.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | L | 89 - 101 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 52 - 76 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | North Central (MN) | W | 84 - 44 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 95 - 87 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Saint Benedict | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Coe | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Dubuque | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | W | 115 - 40 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Mount Union | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Lawrence | W | 69 - 50 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Wartburg | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 105 - 54 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Luther | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Loras | W | 83 - 52 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Dubuque | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 76 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wartburg | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Coe | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Luther | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 100 - 65 |
| 2025-02-16 | @ | Loras | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 80 - 55 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 89 - 96 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Lutmer | - | 26 | 27.0 | 17.9 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.3 | 37.6 | 88.2 | 0.04 | 55.6 | 54.0 |
| Tessa Kinney | - | 2 | 32.0 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 14.5 | - | - | - | 60.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.06 | 64.4 | 67.4 |
| Haley Rasmussen | - | 26 | 26.9 | 14.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.4 | 6.8 | -10 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 45.2 | 51.7 | 89.2 | 0.08 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| Zara Dumatol | - | 2 | 39.5 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 14.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 50.2 | 48.2 |
| Anna Marshall | - | 2 | 36.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -5.3 | 35.7 | 28.6 | 76.5 | 0.01 | 58.2 | 42.9 |
| Ella Anderson | - | 26 | 26.5 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 10.1 | -86 | -2.3 | -2.8 | 61.8 | 25.0 | 85.3 | -0.64 | 66.2 | 63.2 |
| Nikki Thompson | - | 2 | 35.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 12.0 | 22.2 | 83.3 | 0.13 | 23.5 | 16.0 |
| Elle Street | - | 26 | 22.5 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 6.6 | -62 | -1.7 | -2.2 | 46.7 | 43.2 | 65.1 | -0.04 | 56.1 | 53.3 |
| Cerina Nguyen | - | 2 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 30.4 | 27.8 |
| Morgan Pietig | - | 26 | 24.0 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 8.0 | -20 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 39.4 | 33.8 | 79.4 | 0.01 | 55.7 | 50.5 |
| Doryn Paup | - | 26 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 | -37 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 37.7 | 80.0 | 52.4 | 0.06 | 40.4 | 39.1 |
| Maddax Devault | - | 2 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -28 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.55 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Taylor Hansen | - | 25 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 3.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 48.6 | 15.4 | 71.0 | 0.16 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
| Shaniah Temple | - | 22 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | -7 | -0.4 | -0.8 | 42.6 | 20.0 | 75.9 | 0.0 | 53.5 | 44.7 |
| Karsen Jacks | - | 26 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 38.3 | 0.0 | 62.9 | -0.02 | 46.5 | 38.3 |
| Lupe Lemus | - | 2 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Morgan Christian | - | 26 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 47.5 | 16.7 | 33.3 | - | 47.8 | 48.8 |
| Ava Levings | - | 24 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | -13 | -0.7 | -3.1 | 51.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.7 | 60.1 | 58.6 |
| Lili Duckmann | - | 22 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | -22 | -1.4 | -9.3 | 55.0 | 40.0 | 42.9 | -0.15 | 58.5 | 60.0 |
| Mariah Napoleon | - | 2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kamryn Exner | - | 8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kinsey Grauer | - | 20 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 38.5 | 38.5 |
| Lauren Jermain | - | 23 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 45.5 | - | 34.7 | 27.3 |
| Reagan Grimsley | - | 23 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -51 | -2.2 | -7.6 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.04 | 29.5 | 18.8 |
| Erica Rust | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isabella Seranno | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Corteney Louis | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -1.4 | -6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Haily Garcia | - | 2 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Izzy Weldon | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Abbey McGuire | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zoe Ackerman | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Haylee Sethman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Deja Cruz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nisha King | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG