🐻⬇️🏀

Simon Fraser

Also known as: Simon Fraser
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1030 (#147) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +9.0 (#104) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.487 (#368) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.1 More → 0.497 (#223) NetEff -0.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.9 More → 0.758 (#290) AdjNet +9.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.771 (#293) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.647 (#291) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 66.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-01 vs St. Edward's W 78 - 62
2024-11-02 vs Dominican (CA) W 77 - 67
2024-11-03 vs Tampa L 51 - 66
2024-11-08 vs Vanguard W 77 - 71
2024-11-09 vs Westmont W 73 - 49
2024-11-15 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines W 84 - 75
2024-11-16 @ Chadron St. W 81 - 55
2024-11-29 vs CUI W 82 - 55
2024-11-30 vs Point Loma L 64 - 86
2024-12-05 vs Seattle Pacific W 87 - 73
2024-12-07 vs Mont. St. Billings L 66 - 69
2025-01-02 @ Saint Martin's W 57 - 55
2025-01-04 @ Western Ore. L 64 - 67
2025-01-09 vs Central Wash. L 70 - 82
2025-01-11 vs Northwest Nazarene L 55 - 81
2025-01-16 @ Alas. Anchorage L 63 - 78
2025-01-18 @ Alas. Fairbanks W 99 - 80
2025-01-25 vs Western Wash. L 69 - 78
2025-01-30 vs Western Ore. W 83 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Saint Martin's L 74 - 86
2025-02-06 @ Northwest Nazarene L 82 - 90
2025-02-08 @ Central Wash. L 72 - 79
2025-02-13 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 88 - 81
2025-02-15 vs Alas. Anchorage L 63 - 80
2025-02-22 @ Western Wash. L 55 - 65
2025-02-27 @ Mont. St. Billings W 68 - 66
2025-03-01 @ Seattle Pacific W 88 - 79
2025-10-31 vs Wis.-Parkside L 50 - 61

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Abigail Cooper - 1 32.0 29.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 18.0 17.0 41 1.3 1.4 55.6 50.0 87.5 0.25 67.4 61.1
Sophia Wisotzki - 26 33.2 24.7 2.4 2.4 1.7 0.1 3.6 21.4 6.3 -16 -0.6 -0.5 35.2 25.2 85.5 0.17 48.8 40.1
Kiana Rios - 1 38.0 21.0 11.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 17.0 1 0.0 0.0 29.4 33.3 75.0 0.6 47.1 35.3
Audrey Beaty - 1 18.0 17.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 12.0 7 0.2 0.4 54.5 0 71.4 0.35 60.4 54.5
Jenna Siebert - 1 32.0 12.0 9.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 9.0 -60 -2.1 -1.9 37.5 0.0 0 -0.34 37.5 37.5
Myrlaine Shelvey - 26 28.8 11.8 3.7 1.2 1.4 0.5 1.5 9.8 7.3 -64 -2.4 -2.5 42.4 37.2 77.0 -0.74 54.6 51.2
Jada Travis - 1 39.0 11.0 8.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 8.0 122 3.2 3.0 41.7 0.0 50.0 0.68 42.7 41.7
Makenna Gardner - 26 33.6 10.3 4.0 3.3 1.5 0.6 2.1 9.1 8.5 -21 -0.8 -0.8 38.0 33.6 85.2 0.03 51.4 46.8
Alaiyah San Juan - 1 34.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 2.0 32 1.0 1.0 25.0 50.0 100.0 -0.08 38.8 33.3
Adia Walker - 1 20.0 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 35 1.1 2.1 57.1 50.0 50.0 0.26 63.5 64.3
Taylor Linzie - 1 20.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 87 2.6 2.8 66.7 0.0 50.0 0.72 65.4 66.7
Josephine Howery - 1 39.0 9.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 8.0 -47 -1.7 -1.6 44.4 50.0 0.0 -0.1 47.7 50.0
Rachel Loukes - 27 22.7 8.4 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 2.0 6.6 8.3 -19 -0.5 -0.6 41.0 24.0 67.9 -0.31 50.2 42.7
Jade Leon - 1 17.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 66 1.6 2.5 40.0 100.0 75.0 -0.62 59.2 50.0
Peyton Freiermuth - 1 24.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 -18 -0.6 -0.8 44.4 0.0 0.0 -0.01 42.4 44.4
Arman Dulai - 26 28.7 7.4 5.5 2.3 2.2 0.8 1.9 7.8 8.5 -24 -0.9 -0.9 32.7 29.9 88.6 0.01 44.2 39.9
Emma Sixta - 1 20.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 65 1.8 2.1 60.0 33.3 0 -0.02 70.0 70.0
Avery Oaster - 1 32.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 6.0 18 0.7 0.6 14.3 0 62.5 0.04 33.3 14.3
Keeli Jade Smith - 1 18.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 26 0.9 1.4 30.0 100.0 0.0 0.46 33.5 35.0
Saya Sabus - 1 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -14 -1.4 -8.1 66.7 50.0 0 -0.05 83.3 83.3
Isa Hensley - 1 13.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 -42 -1.4 -4.4 28.6 0 50.0 -0.18 31.7 28.6
Laiken Hill - 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 69 3.5 3.9 33.3 0.0 0 0.64 33.3 33.3
Sophie Bergeron - 27 15.9 3.8 3.4 1.3 1.8 0.3 1.3 3.9 5.4 -5 -0.2 -0.2 36.8 18.2 63.9 0.46 42.3 37.7
Rilyn Quirke - 27 16.0 3.4 3.0 0.9 0.6 1.0 1.0 4.1 3.8 -35 -0.9 -1.3 37.5 0 61.5 0.23 39.1 37.5
Alex Salise - 1 35.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 36 1.4 2.1 16.7 0.0 25.0 0.22 19.3 16.7
Madelyn Brown - 1 18.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 -2 -0.1 -0.1 100.0 0 50.0 -0.49 79.8 100.0
Andraya Perez - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 31 1.0 2.1 50.0 0.0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Jazmine Barnes - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3 -0.1 -0.3 0 0 100.0 -0.16 113.6 0
Michaela Lee - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 -3 -0.2 -1.2 50.0 0 0 0.01 50.0 50.0
Lindsey Jones - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -66 -2.1 -6.5 100.0 0 0 -0.53 100.0 100.0
Kasey Booster - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 30 1.2 2.5 50.0 0 0 -0.02 50.0 50.0
Gwendilyn Aasland - 1 7.3 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -49 -1.8 -3.5 33.3 0 0 -0.34 33.3 33.3
Oceanne Paradis - 1 10.4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 12 0.9 2.2 100.0 0 0 -0.1 100.0 100.0
Sahnya Gill - 27 6.0 1.7 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 1.1 2.7 0 0.0 0.0 63.3 0 50.0 -0.13 62.2 63.3
Julianne Cotterill - 1 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 46 1.9 3.4 0 0 50.0 0.11 56.8 0
Isobel Crosswhite - 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1 -0.0 -0.1 0 0 50.0 0.41 56.8 0
Bree Neufeld - 27 4.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 -16 -0.4 -1.0 32.0 31.2 100.0 0.42 44.4 42.0
Haley de Walle - 23 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 28 1.1 2.3 26.3 21.4 71.4 -0.31 40.8 34.2
Sophia Morton - 24 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.0 -2 -0.1 -1.4 23.1 0 0 -0.04 23.1 23.1
Anja Tjernagel - 26 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Natalie Charity - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaitlin Tetteh-wayoe - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -8 -0.3 -2.0 0.0 0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Alvarado - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 126 3.3 7.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.94 0.0 0.0
Mikayla Amoroso - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 32 1.0 1.2 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Kaylyn Buchanon-Lamb - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -3.0 46 1.6 2.8 0.0 0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Keyonee Neal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32 3.2 3.5 0 0 0 0.39 0 0
Mahliya Wilson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31 3.9 4.8 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Jaycee Pittman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jessica Rios - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.1 -0.2 0 0 0 0.08 0 0
Olivia Lee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -61 -2.1 -1.5 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Quincey Baum - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94 7.2 10.5 0 0 0 0.59 0 0
Sarah Lamet - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -18 -0.6 -0.9 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
Jlynn Rios - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.3 -3.0 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
Lilly Koki - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -21 -2.6 -11.3 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0
Mya Hatchett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.1 0.2 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
Sabrina Lopez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30 1.8 4.3 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
Iternite Reed - 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 25 0.9 1.9 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Alyssa Buwalda - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 67 5.6 23.9 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
Zoe Sharpe - 1 20.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 -130 -3.6 -4.8 0.0 0 0 -0.48 0.0 0.0
Tonya Karpow - 1 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42 6.0 26.4 0 0 0 0.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG