Simon Fraser
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 987 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#147) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#104) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.487 (#368) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.497 (#223) | NetEff -0.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.758 (#290) | AdjNet +9.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.771 (#293) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.647 (#291) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 66.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail Cooper | - | 1 | 32.0 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 41 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 87.5 | 0.25 | 67.4 | 61.1 |
| Sophia Wisotzki | - | 26 | 33.2 | 24.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 21.4 | 6.3 | -16 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 35.2 | 25.2 | 85.5 | 0.17 | 48.8 | 40.1 |
| Kiana Rios | - | 1 | 38.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.4 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.6 | 47.1 | 35.3 |
| Audrey Beaty | - | 1 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 54.5 | 0 | 71.4 | 0.35 | 60.4 | 54.5 |
| Jenna Siebert | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | -60 | -2.1 | -1.9 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Myrlaine Shelvey | - | 26 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 7.3 | -64 | -2.4 | -2.5 | 42.4 | 37.2 | 77.0 | -0.74 | 54.6 | 51.2 |
| Jada Travis | - | 1 | 39.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 122 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.68 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Makenna Gardner | - | 26 | 33.6 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 8.5 | -21 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 38.0 | 33.6 | 85.2 | 0.03 | 51.4 | 46.8 |
| Alaiyah San Juan | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 32 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.08 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Adia Walker | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 35 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.26 | 63.5 | 64.3 |
| Taylor Linzie | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 87 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.72 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Josephine Howery | - | 1 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -47 | -1.7 | -1.6 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 47.7 | 50.0 |
| Rachel Loukes | - | 27 | 22.7 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 8.3 | -19 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 41.0 | 24.0 | 67.9 | -0.31 | 50.2 | 42.7 |
| Jade Leon | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 66 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.62 | 59.2 | 50.0 |
| Peyton Freiermuth | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | -18 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.01 | 42.4 | 44.4 |
| Arman Dulai | - | 26 | 28.7 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 8.5 | -24 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 32.7 | 29.9 | 88.6 | 0.01 | 44.2 | 39.9 |
| Emma Sixta | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.02 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Avery Oaster | - | 1 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 18 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 14.3 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.04 | 33.3 | 14.3 |
| Keeli Jade Smith | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.46 | 33.5 | 35.0 |
| Saya Sabus | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -1.4 | -8.1 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Isa Hensley | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -42 | -1.4 | -4.4 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.18 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Laiken Hill | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 69 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.64 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Sophie Bergeron | - | 27 | 15.9 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 5.4 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 36.8 | 18.2 | 63.9 | 0.46 | 42.3 | 37.7 |
| Rilyn Quirke | - | 27 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 3.8 | -35 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 61.5 | 0.23 | 39.1 | 37.5 |
| Alex Salise | - | 1 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 36 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.22 | 19.3 | 16.7 |
| Madelyn Brown | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.49 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Andraya Perez | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jazmine Barnes | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Michaela Lee | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lindsey Jones | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -66 | -2.1 | -6.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kasey Booster | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 30 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Gwendilyn Aasland | - | 1 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -49 | -1.8 | -3.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Oceanne Paradis | - | 1 | 10.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sahnya Gill | - | 27 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 62.2 | 63.3 |
| Julianne Cotterill | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 46 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Isobel Crosswhite | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Bree Neufeld | - | 27 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | -16 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 32.0 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 0.42 | 44.4 | 42.0 |
| Haley de Walle | - | 23 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 28 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 26.3 | 21.4 | 71.4 | -0.31 | 40.8 | 34.2 |
| Sophia Morton | - | 24 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.4 | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Anja Tjernagel | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Charity | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kaitlin Tetteh-wayoe | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alyssa Alvarado | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 126 | 3.3 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mikayla Amoroso | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaylyn Buchanon-Lamb | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Keyonee Neal | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahliya Wilson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaycee Pittman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jessica Rios | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Lee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -61 | -2.1 | -1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincey Baum | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94 | 7.2 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarah Lamet | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -18 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Jlynn Rios | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Lilly Koki | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -21 | -2.6 | -11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Mya Hatchett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Sabrina Lopez | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Iternite Reed | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 25 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa Buwalda | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 67 | 5.6 | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Zoe Sharpe | - | 1 | 20.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -130 | -3.6 | -4.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tonya Karpow | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42 | 6.0 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG