Simon Fraser
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 923 (#357) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 910 (#427) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 833 (#583) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#152) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.1 (#373) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.352 (#409) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.298 (#264) | NetEff -8.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.617 (#351) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.622 (#354) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.579 (#346) | AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.418 (#440) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 73.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#420) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.353 (#427) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 830 (#430) | RD 101 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | CSUSB | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Langara (CAN) | W | 105 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | British Colum. (CAN) | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Westmont | L | 64 - 83 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Westminster (UT) | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UCCS | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Central Wash. | W | 89 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Missouri S&T | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | W | 87 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Seattle Pacific | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Western Ore. | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 61 - 84 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 67 - 89 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikyle Malabuyoc | - | 22 | 32.6 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 9.6 | 8.8 | -126 | -6.0 | -27.5 | 47.2 | 42.0 | 84.4 | -2.81 | 61.6 | 57.1 |
| Zach Stone | - | 22 | 26.1 | 12.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 10.2 | -129 | -6.1 | -34.0 | 45.5 | 37.3 | 70.4 | -0.88 | 57.3 | 52.1 |
| Tate Christiansen | - | 22 | 25.9 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 7.4 | -125 | -6.0 | -37.2 | 47.3 | 44.4 | 79.4 | -4.53 | 64.8 | 59.6 |
| Sartaj Bhangu | - | 22 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 7.5 | -121 | -5.8 | -31.3 | 47.9 | 43.9 | 68.0 | 0.82 | 60.8 | 58.2 |
| Ajani Jamison | - | 22 | 20.3 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.9 | -101 | -4.4 | -36.7 | 40.0 | 39.5 | 72.2 | 0.1 | 55.1 | 53.3 |
| Daniel Augusto Smith | - | 20 | 22.3 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 4.9 | -66 | -3.5 | -29.7 | 42.2 | 32.3 | 61.5 | 0.23 | 52.2 | 51.3 |
| Roko Maric | - | 15 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 6 | 0.4 | 12.2 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 69.6 | -0.37 | 56.2 | 52.9 |
| Matthys Van Bylandt | - | 22 | 23.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 6.6 | -56 | -2.4 | -17.3 | 46.8 | 36.8 | 61.4 | -1.29 | 55.0 | 51.3 |
| Josiah Sutton | - | 18 | 12.5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | -42 | -2.2 | -18.8 | 42.6 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.36 | 51.2 | 46.3 |
| Terique Brown | - | 19 | 9.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 71.4 | 1.91 | 39.9 | 36.5 |
| Thomas Manganini | - | 5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 31 | 7.8 | 154.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.86 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG