Siena
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#197) | Preseason prior 979 (returning production + recruiting): last season 964, returning +93, transfers -78, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#217) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 949 (#217) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#188) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.9 (#189) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.361 (#181) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.424 (#188) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.429 (#187) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.425 (#199) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.425 (#199) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#221) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.401 (#194) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Brown Bears | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Maine Black Bears | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 58 - 82 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | New Haven Chargers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Army Black Knights | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Mercyhurst Lakers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francesca Schiro
|
G | 4 | 36.2 | 20.8 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 15.8 | 12.8 | -19 | 4 | -4.8 | -5.3 | 49.2 | 39.3 | 71.4 | -0.33 | 60.0 | 57.9 |
Nicole Melious
|
G | 4 | 30.8 | 15.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 13.5 | 5.2 | -12 | 4 | -3.0 | -3.9 | 44.4 | 37.0 | 66.7 | -2.95 | 54.2 | 53.7 |
K. Tucker
|
G | 4 | 26.0 | 10.5 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 8.8 | 10.8 | -28 | 4 | -7.0 | -10.7 | 42.9 | 22.2 | 58.8 | -0.44 | 49.4 | 45.7 |
Caydence Hadley
|
G | 4 | 25.2 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 41.4 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 2.4 | 48.8 | 46.6 |
Nila Giraud
|
F | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -14 | 1 | -14.0 | -33.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -2.62 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
Myanna Hatchette
|
G | 4 | 28.8 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 2.8 | -14 | 4 | -3.5 | -4.8 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | -1.2 | 43.5 | 44.4 |
Grace Sundback
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -3.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.98 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
Karissa Antoine
|
F | 4 | 24.2 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 4.8 | -22 | 4 | -5.5 | -9.2 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 46.7 | -1.86 | 28.3 | 22.2 |
Stella Ziogas
|
G | 3 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -13.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Dany Diaz
|
G | 4 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
Alazne Canales
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -49.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.32 | 0 | 0 |
Ashari Emuze
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -67.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0 | 0 |
Dani Garcia Gasco
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
264 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Francesca SchiroNicole MeliousK. TuckerCaydence HadleyMyanna HatchetteKarissa Antoine
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 38-67 | 56.7 | 76 | Francesca Schiro 26% (20 pts) | Nicole Melious 21% (16 pts) | Karissa Antoine 31% (9 misses) | Nicole Melious 21% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 28-59 | 47.5 | 56 | Francesca Schiro 21% (12 pts) | K. Tucker 21% (12 pts) | Myanna Hatchette 19% (6 misses) | Karissa Antoine 16% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-14 | 21.4 | 6 | Francesca Schiro 33% (2 pts) | Karissa Antoine 33% (2 pts) | Francesca Schiro 36% (4 misses) | Caydence Hadley 18% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 4 | Caydence Hadley 50% (2 pts) | Francesca Schiro 50% (2 pts) | Francesca Schiro 33% (2 misses) | K. Tucker 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 8 | Francesca Schiro 50% (4 pts) | Caydence Hadley 25% (2 pts) | Francesca Schiro 27% (3 misses) | Caydence Hadley 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Myanna Hatchette 67% (6 pts) | Nicole Melious 33% (3 pts) | Caydence Hadley 25% (1 misses) | Francesca Schiro 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Francesca Schiro 40% (6 pts) | K. Tucker 20% (3 pts) | Francesca Schiro 44% (4 misses) | Nicole Melious 33% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-33 | 24.2 | 24 | Nicole Melious 38% (9 pts) | Caydence Hadley 25% (6 pts) | Francesca Schiro 20% (5 misses) | Myanna Hatchette 20% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-20 | 30.0 | 18 | Francesca Schiro 50% (9 pts) | Nicole Melious 33% (6 pts) | K. Tucker 36% (5 misses) | Nicole Melious 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-27 | 29.6 | 24 | Francesca Schiro 50% (12 pts) | Nicole Melious 38% (9 pts) | Nicole Melious 42% (8 misses) | Francesca Schiro 21% (4 misses) |