🐻⬇️🏀

Shorter

Also known as: Shorter
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#293) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1016 (#267) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1006 (#336) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -3.7 (#260) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +1.2 (#346) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.265 (#454) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More → 0.325 (#461) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.2 More → 0.326 (#462) AdjNet -6.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.407 (#464) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 58.6 More → 0.516 (#321) AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 58.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.448 (#401) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.475 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1022 (#229) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Kennesaw St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Clayton St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Flagler - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Francis Marion - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Southern Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Montevallo - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Catawba - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Miles - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Barton - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Emmanuel (GA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Georgia College - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 vs Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Chowan - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs Erskine - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ North Greenville - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 vs Young Harris - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Southern Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs King (TN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Lees-McRae - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Emmanuel (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Ferrum - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amiya Redus - 19 35.9 14.5 2.9 1.8 2.1 0.1 2.7 14.3 4.4 61 3.0 22.2 36.2 30.0 67.9 -0.91 44.8 40.6
Chelsy Singleton - 19 28.0 11.7 4.2 3.3 2.2 0.4 2.8 9.8 9.1 106 5.6 43.3 44.6 45.1 82.5 3.55 54.5 50.8
Aijah Manning - 19 29.9 10.5 7.5 1.7 1.4 0.6 2.6 8.7 10.3 79 4.2 36.3 50.0 0.0 57.9 1.65 52.1 50.0
Amya Patterson - 19 34.0 10.4 4.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 2.5 8.8 6.0 78 3.9 32.8 38.9 30.0 87.8 1.09 52.2 46.1
Ahtiana Benway - 11 15.6 5.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 4.5 2.2 - - - 42.0 40.6 71.4 -0.97 57.9 55.0
Amari Butler - 19 17.9 5.1 2.3 0.6 1.5 0.4 1.6 5.4 2.9 68 3.6 45.8 33.0 27.8 42.2 3.05 39.5 37.9
DNaylah Williams - 11 15.3 4.6 2.9 0.2 0.7 0.0 1.5 3.7 3.2 9 0.4 3.2 51.2 0 64.3 -1.57 54.1 51.2
Kalyn Williams - 13 9.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.6 1 0.1 0.9 64.3 0.0 30.8 -2.01 55.8 64.3
Jordan Kierbow - 12 8.8 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.2 2.2 - - - 33.3 16.7 87.5 0.95 48.6 36.7
Rhyan Wilson - 18 18.4 1.2 3.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.9 6 0.3 2.6 45.5 0 33.3 -3.35 44.6 45.5
Jaliyah Zackery - 14 7.8 1.1 2.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 3 0.2 3.3 41.2 0 50.0 -3.43 42.6 41.2
Ashley Washington - 5 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 -29 -1.9 -48.5 50.0 0 0 -0.68 50.0 50.0
Shiloh Small - 3 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
KeYanna Gupton - 6 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -5 -1.0 -162.2 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
Chandler Duncan - 3 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG