Shippensburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 713 (#528) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 710 (#526) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 784 (#681) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.7 (#339) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.9 (#548) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.114 (#527) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.032 (#431) | NetEff -24.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.107 (#587) | AdjNet -18.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.107 (#586) | AdjNet -17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.281 (#572) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.235 (#651) | AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.134 (#638) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.142 (#643) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 695 (#501) | RD 104 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Point Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | California (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Edinboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Clarion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Shepherd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EYER, Melana | - | 1 | 39.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 22.2 | 75.0 | - | 56.0 | 52.9 |
| MARTON, Lauren | - | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 88.8 | 91.7 |
| Michelle Olak | - | 20 | 31.6 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 9.2 | 8.2 | -213 | -10.1 | -30.4 | 51.6 | 33.3 | 60.4 | -1.2 | 55.3 | 52.4 |
| THOMAS, McKenzie | - | 1 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 46.8 | 45.0 |
| Melana Eyer | - | 21 | 35.8 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 11.8 | 3.7 | -231 | -10.5 | -29.1 | 29.1 | 25.8 | 82.7 | 1.0 | 40.6 | 35.6 |
| OLAK, Michelle | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| JOHNS, Abbie | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 54.3 | 42.9 |
| Abbie Johns | - | 21 | 33.9 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 2.8 | -280 | -12.7 | -40.6 | 34.1 | 24.4 | 71.4 | -3.05 | 43.0 | 39.2 |
| HARDY, Kiara | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 59.2 | 80.0 |
| McKenzie Thomas | - | 21 | 25.2 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 0.9 | -219 | -10.0 | -44.0 | 32.4 | 25.6 | 75.8 | -1.95 | 41.2 | 36.4 |
| Kiara Hardy | - | 21 | 24.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -185 | -8.4 | -39.9 | 41.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.0 | 43.8 | 41.4 |
| Lauren Marton | - | 16 | 17.9 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 2.3 | -174 | -10.9 | -147.7 | 35.3 | 45.5 | 68.0 | -5.63 | 42.7 | 38.2 |
| Makayla Foddrell | - | 21 | 27.9 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 5.1 | -143 | -6.5 | -23.8 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 55.8 | 2.01 | 39.2 | 34.0 |
| FODDRELL, Makayla | - | 1 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Mackenzie Stoner | - | 17 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | -45 | -2.5 | -25.5 | 35.7 | 35.7 | 80.0 | -0.8 | 44.1 | 41.7 |
| Allie Mumau | - | 4 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -15 | -3.8 | -18.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.76 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Riley Watson | - | 15 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -33 | -2.1 | -30.7 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.46 | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Zaria Spann | - | 9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -2 | -0.2 | -27.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 21.6 | 0.0 |
| MUMAU, Allie | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG