Shepherd
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 875 (#332) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 801 (#357) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.6 (#265) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.131 (#518) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.138 (#325) | NetEff -13.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.103 (#593) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.103 (#591) | AdjNet -18.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.257 (#588) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 71.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | Morgan St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | West Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Cheyney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Seton Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | California (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-27 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Clarion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Wehner | - | 28 | 30.8 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 48 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 35.7 | 30.0 | 69.4 | 0.5 | 44.3 | 42.3 |
| Lamaria Estridge | - | 27 | 17.3 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.8 | 30.4 | 47.1 | -0.16 | 50.1 | 49.5 |
| Carmaya Bowman | - | 28 | 22.4 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 6.7 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 47.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.37 | 48.5 | 47.3 |
| Jenna Liska | - | 28 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 64 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 37.8 | 32.0 | 67.2 | 0.36 | 45.3 | 40.2 |
| Annie Hunt | - | 28 | 17.8 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 32 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 31.5 | 28.6 | 58.6 | 0.38 | 41.5 | 39.8 |
| Samiyah Nasir | - | 28 | 19.2 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 2.6 | -25 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 35.6 | 25.5 | 75.0 | -0.43 | 44.3 | 39.4 |
| Cassidy Rhodes | - | 28 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 0.6 | -81 | -2.1 | -3.0 | 28.1 | 23.5 | 73.3 | -0.44 | 39.1 | 37.6 |
| Trinity Turner | - | 28 | 21.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 35.8 | 18.2 | 43.0 | 0.75 | 39.6 | 36.7 |
| Jordan Carr | - | 28 | 15.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 38 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 69.6 | 0.27 | 37.0 | 26.0 |
| Leah Snisky | - | 26 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 51.6 | 40.0 | 64.3 | -0.11 | 57.9 | 54.8 |
| Corin Edsell | - | 26 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 33 | 3.0 | 7.9 | 29.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 43.1 | 40.4 |
| Makenna Painter | - | 27 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 15 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 36.7 | 0 | 64.3 | 0.02 | 42.9 | 36.7 |
| Kelly Ours | - | 27 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Katie Christ | - | 27 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 37.0 | 35.7 |
| Trysten Colburn | - | 23 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG