Shepherd
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 804 (#510) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 816 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 953 (#554) | - |
| Margin | -6.0 (#224) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency | -1.7 (#391) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean | 0.131 (#518) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.103 (#593) | AdjO 90.6 | AdjD 109.4 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.103 (#591) | AdjO 88.2 | AdjD 106.5 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.257 (#588) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.463 (#443) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.414 (#436) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.423 (#427) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.342 (#412) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 907 (#361) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Shaw | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Point Park | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Gannon | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Slippery Rock | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Edinboro | L | 63 - 86 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Clarion | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Millersville | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mansfield | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | West Chester | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Kutztown | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 74 - 68 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.