Shenandoah
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1154 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1242 (#12) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.4 (#79) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.914 (#229) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.881 (#89) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.928 (#187) | AdjNet +22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.929 (#188) | AdjNet +21.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.752 (#203) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 55.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Catholic | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | DeSales | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Marymount (VA) | W | 64 - 36 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Wilson | W | 102 - 39 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Randolph | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Asbury | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Montclair St. | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Guilford | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Averett | W | 101 - 47 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Roanoke | W | 77 - 47 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 50 - 48 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ferrum | W | 57 - 44 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 53 - 41 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Hollins | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Averett | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2025-02-10 | vs | Salisbury | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 49 - 56 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Roanoke | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 49 - 62 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terese Greene | - | 26 | 28.3 | 21.5 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 16.5 | 12.0 | 109 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 45.0 | 31.8 | 75.8 | 1.02 | 54.9 | 49.1 |
| Maddie Kimble | - | 27 | 29.6 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 10.7 | 6.2 | 68 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 31.0 | 24.4 | 79.5 | 0.45 | 43.6 | 38.4 |
| Shawnise Campbell | - | 27 | 22.5 | 9.0 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 10.2 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 53.6 | 0 | 53.7 | 0.05 | 54.2 | 53.6 |
| Emily Williams | - | 27 | 27.4 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 10.7 | 155 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 45.1 | 13.6 | 75.9 | 0.81 | 50.8 | 46.0 |
| Gabby Krystofiak | - | 27 | 28.6 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 59 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 29.5 | 76.2 | 0.31 | 49.1 | 47.2 |
| Addisyn Banks | - | 27 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 173 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 28.9 | 22.4 | 58.3 | 0.58 | 36.7 | 32.6 |
| Jessica Littlejohn | - | 27 | 12.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 65 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 27.4 | 13.6 | 58.3 | 0.31 | 31.9 | 29.5 |
| Danni Marmo | - | 25 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 37.8 | 35.0 | 90.0 | 0.07 | 53.1 | 47.3 |
| Sydney Shepos | - | 27 | 11.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 43 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 54.5 | 0.11 | 42.9 | 41.0 |
| Brynna Nesselrodt | - | 26 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 85 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 40.0 | 43.8 | 100.0 | 0.64 | 56.0 | 54.0 |
| Skai Bayless | - | 27 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 98 | 2.8 | 6.1 | 35.3 | 11.1 | 100.0 | 0.38 | 42.3 | 36.8 |
| Reagan Smith | - | 24 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 12 | 0.9 | 10.2 | 36.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 40.3 | 36.4 |
| Mya Martin | - | 26 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.44 | 45.7 | 28.6 |
| Lily Berger | - | 25 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 24 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 106.4 | 150.0 |
| Lydia Pedersen | - | 22 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kiersten Hostetter | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zoe Smith | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 149 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG